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Of course it would be painful.

We have seen countries do incredibly painful things in the past as entrenched vested interests fought for their own prerogatives ... consider the Polish nobility of the Targawica Federation appealing to the Russians for help against the reforms of Stanislaw August Poniatowski. It was only three years from the outbreak of the Polish-Russian war to the completion of the partition of Poland between Russia, Prussia, and Austria.


I've been accused of being a Marxist, yet while Harpo's my favourite, it's Groucho I'm always quoting. Odd, that.

by BruceMcF (agila61 at netscape dot net) on Mon Nov 22nd, 2010 at 08:39:59 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Who controls the nukes, and are they going to be used as arguments in a domestic political debate over whether to permit secession or not?

In Russia, it was pretty clear-cut, because all the relevant officers were Russians, so Moskva could just order all the nuclear ships to re-base to St. Petersburg, and all the land-based warheads to be put on trains and shipped to Moskva. But the collapse of the Soviet Union was the collapse of a colonial empire. What you're talking about here is the equivalent of Kola and St. Petersburg striking out for independence.

I find the notion of a disintegrating country with several thousand megaton at its disposal less than perfectly reassuring...

- Jake

Friends come and go. Enemies accumulate.

by JakeS (JangoSierra 'at' gmail 'dot' com) on Mon Nov 22nd, 2010 at 09:45:29 PM EST
[ Parent ]
... distributed across several combat arms ~ strategic nukes in the Air Force and Navy.

Some kind of treaty to have a reduction in the total stockpile and to have inspectors from outside in place would be handy.

I've been accused of being a Marxist, yet while Harpo's my favourite, it's Groucho I'm always quoting. Odd, that.

by BruceMcF (agila61 at netscape dot net) on Mon Nov 22nd, 2010 at 10:57:03 PM EST
[ Parent ]
calling blix stat!

'The history of public debt is full of irony. It rarely follows our ideas of order and justice.' Thomas Piketty
by melo (melometa4(at)gmail.com) on Wed Nov 24th, 2010 at 09:57:22 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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