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But a couple of years ago, before the crisis, Italy suggested using its own central bank to run its own monetary policy. The ECB threatened to stop clearing payments with the Italian central bank if they did so, and the Italians backed down.
A swedish kind of death:European Tribune - Beggars can't be choosersHowever the ECB could turn off the liquidity taps to the Irish Banks at any time thus effectively bankrupting them whatever the Irish Government might do. Can it? How would it work? If yes, could not the Irish government issue scrip in such a situation?Migeru:In that case the Irish banks would be insolvent and would have to be intervened by their regulator or national deposit insurance scheme. The assumption would be that the Irish government doesn't have enought cash even for a "Good Bank" resolution of its banks.JakeS:But that is ridiculous. Surely they have enough liquid assets to cover all domestic depositors?Migeru:After all we've seen in the last 3 years, I wouldn't bet my life savings on that surely...
European Tribune - Beggars can't be choosersHowever the ECB could turn off the liquidity taps to the Irish Banks at any time thus effectively bankrupting them whatever the Irish Government might do. Can it? How would it work? If yes, could not the Irish government issue scrip in such a situation?
However the ECB could turn off the liquidity taps to the Irish Banks at any time thus effectively bankrupting them whatever the Irish Government might do.
Can it? How would it work?
If yes, could not the Irish government issue scrip in such a situation?
In that case the Irish banks would be insolvent and would have to be intervened by their regulator or national deposit insurance scheme. The assumption would be that the Irish government doesn't have enought cash even for a "Good Bank" resolution of its banks.
But that is ridiculous. Surely they have enough liquid assets to cover all domestic depositors?
After all we've seen in the last 3 years, I wouldn't bet my life savings on that surely...
Buiter, who comments rarely now he works for Citi... Brought this out the other day: Sovereign Debt Crisis Update (pdf).
Sovereign Debt Crisis Update (pdf).
Accessing external sources of funds will not mark the end of Ireland's troubles. The reason is that, in our view, the consolidated Irish sovereign and Irish domestic financial system is de facto insolvent. The Irish sovereign cannot from its own resources `bail out' the banks and make its own creditors whole. In addition, a fully-fledged bailout (permanent fiscal transfer) from EA partners or the ECB is most unlikely. Therefore, either the unsecured non-guaranteed creditors of the banks, and/or the creditors of the sovereign may eventually have to accept a restructuring with an NPV haircut, even if it is not a condition for accessing the EFSF or the EFSM at present.
I think this is the key point... and frankly I still do not know.
A pleasure I therefore claim to show, not how men think in myths, but how myths operate in men's minds without their being aware of the fact. Levi-Strauss, Claude
But on what basis? Implementing common ECB monetary policy?
And if the ECB says, "those are not sound assets you have on your books, we are not accept payments from you until you clean up your books and have sound assets backing your liabilities" ... if the ECB can in fact make it stick, that's the end of that strategy. I've been accused of being a Marxist, yet while Harpo's my favourite, it's Groucho I'm always quoting. Odd, that.
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