Welcome to European Tribune. It's gone a bit quiet around here these days, but it's still going.
Display:
This started out as a simple report on an opinion poll which expanded to explain the difficulty of forecasting seat outcomes from headline % vote share data.  I then began speculating on the likely outcome of such a shift in voting patterns but surprised even myself by my conclusion - that the result was likely to be a tectonic shift in Irish attitudes to the EU  - despite the fact that Fine Gael and Labour are traditionally very Europhile.

Sinn Fein are staring to give a concrete political expression to the xenophobic, Nationalist, and atavistic vote that appeared in a more inchoate form in the NO votes on EU referenda.  I can't see their rise not effecting how even a Fine Gael Labour government would act.  Gerry Adams would be Leader of the Opposition on the basis of these figures after all...

Index of Frank's Diaries

by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Fri Dec 3rd, 2010 at 05:19:56 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Others have rated this comment as follows:

Display:

Top Diaries

The Making of A Rebellion

by Oui - Jan 10
58 comments

Italian government collapse

by IdiotSavant - Jan 15
20 comments

China Releases Trump's Deck of Cards

by Oui - Jan 21
6 comments

A New Dawn In America

by Oui - Jan 20
27 comments

Forever Corruption and A Pardon

by Oui - Jan 20
4 comments

Dutch Government Collapse

by Oui - Jan 16
6 comments

Occasional Series