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Cowen faces FF meltdown in his own constituency - National News, Frontpage - Independent.ie
The meltdown in the Fianna Fail vote has now entered the very heartland of Mr Cowen's constituency.

Like Donegal, the constituency of Laois-Offaly is a Fianna Fail stronghold where, since 1977, the party has consistently won three out of the five seats.

But now, in what would be a stunning political realignment, a constituency poll suggests that such is the collapse in support for Fianna Fail, Sinn Fein's Brian Stanley and first-time Labour candidate John Whelan are poised to win seats.

Apparently too internal polls are showing FF to be in deep trouble in the Taoiseach's own constituency - as rural and conservative as you can get.  Constituency level polls are far more valuable in trying to predict seat outcomes than national polls because votes are counted and allocated to candidates at local level.

Although FF might still muster close to two quotas (33% in a 5 seat constituency), the fact that they are running three candidates all at war with each other for the second seat means they could even lose two seats here to Labour and Sinn Fein respectively.  

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by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Sun Dec 5th, 2010 at 12:39:38 PM EST

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