Welcome to European Tribune. It's gone a bit quiet around here these days, but it's still going.
Display:
It wasn't my intention to ask a theoretical question. If we get to summer 2011 and things haven't improved enough to put down a timeline for withdrawal, we should see COIN as a failure.

The Dutch political process is unfortunately unhinged from the overall war effort. But it won't have too much impact in the face of the US buildup.

by nanne (zwaerdenmaecker@gmail.com) on Sat Feb 20th, 2010 at 04:20:08 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Setting down public timelines for withdrawal is sure to be counterproductive, as it tells the opposition they just have to keep their heads down until then. Further, it's unlikely to see considerable changes in as short time as a year. It smack of quarter capitalism, no?

Still, there might very well be reasons why certain nations should not be involved in the war effort. If it creates huge political problems at home for the Dutch, they can always go home. It won't mean the end of COIN. I for one think the Swedish deployment in Afghanistan is bad policy, though for completely different reasons than the local peaceniks do.

Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.

by Starvid on Sat Feb 20th, 2010 at 04:25:42 PM EST
[ Parent ]
.
I pretty much agree with the comments by Starvid. I'm no advocate of an extended war in Afghanistan, nor did I think the Iraq invasion was legal or wise. The original goal set after 9/11 was to destroy the leadership of Al Qaeda and the Taliban for harbouring foreign fighters with their 'religious zeal' and training camps. This should have been a deliberate and short campaign. With Bush and Neocon policy, we all know this went completely out of control. It probably was a mission impossible anyway. The focus was taken off Afghanistan and Pakistan never gave their full support. Holbrooke as special envoy, Obama and General McCrystal have taken months to formulate a new (exit) strategy (pdf). What Bush and Cheney have neglected for eight years is now happening in the AfPak theater of war. Even the issue with India (Kashmir) has become part of the negotiation to create a more stable region. No, a military victory will not be attainable, that's why negotiations are getting started with the Taliban for a political solution and end the military presence by ISAF, NATO and US forces in Afghanistan.

Chatham House - Conceptualizing AfPak: The Prospects and Perils (pdf)

"But I will not let myself be reduced to silence."

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Sat Feb 20th, 2010 at 05:02:59 PM EST
[ Parent ]
and end the military presence by ISAF, NATO and US forces in Afghanistan.

God, you have a fluent familiarity with the most obscure of the Empire's acronyms! What is EuroTrib coming to...

Here is what a British Pakistani has to say about Obama and AfPak:

From Palestine through Iraq to Iran, Obama has acted as just another steward of the American empire, pursuing the same aims as his predecessors, with the same means but with a more emollient rhetoric. In Afghanistan, he has gone further, widening the front of imperial aggression with a major escalation of violence, both technological and territorial. When he took office, Afghanistan had already been occupied by US and satellite forces for over seven years. During his election campaign Obama--determined to outdo Bush in prosecuting a `just war'--pledged more troops and fire-power to crush the Afghan resistance, and more ground intrusions and drone attacks in Pakistan to burn out support for it across the border. This is one promise he has kept. A further 30,000 troops are currently being rushed to the Hindu Kush. This will bring the us army of occupation close to 100,000, under a general picked by Obama for the success of his brutalities in Iraq, where his units formed a specialist elite in assassination and torture. Simultaneously, a massive intensification of aerial terror over Pakistan is under way. In what the New York Times delicately described as a `statistic that the White House has not advertised', it has informed its readers that `since Mr Obama came to office, the Central Intelligence Agency has mounted more Predator drone strikes into Pakistan than during Mr Bush's eight years in office'.

There is no mystery about the reason for this escalation. After invading Afghanistan in 2001, the US and its European auxiliaries imposed a puppet government of their own making, confected at a conference in Bonn, headed by a CIA asset and seconded by an assortment of Tajik warlords, with NGOs in attendance like page boys in a medieval court. This bogus construct never had the slightest legitimacy in the country, lacking even a modicum of the narrow but dedicated base the Taliban had enjoyed. [...]

[A]fter vehement denunciations of fraud by the highest functionary in Washington, and a pro forma second round of voting, Obama consummated the farce by congratulating Karzai on a victory more blatantly rigged even than Ahmadinejad's two months earlier, on which--in top Uriah Heep form--the US President had spared no stern words. Unlike the regime in Tehran, which retains an indigenous base in society, however diminished, what passes for government in Kabul is a Western implant that would disintegrate overnight without the NATO praetorians dispatched to protect it.

Tariq Ali: President of Cant

A bomb, H bomb, Minuteman / The names get more attractive / The decisions are made by NATO / The press call it British opinion -- The Three Johns

by Alexander on Sat Feb 20th, 2010 at 05:51:46 PM EST
[ Parent ]
.
Tariq Ali a Trotskyist, he is not my cup of tea. I don't know what his beef is with Pakistan and the British Empire. He is from the Punjab, perhaps that explains a lot.

Tariq Ali: The Protocols of the Elders of Sodom

"But I will not let myself be reduced to silence."

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Sat Feb 20th, 2010 at 07:02:24 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I didn't know that Tariq Ali was a Trotskyist. When I read your comment, I thought that was an absurd charge, but then I read the Wikipedia article on him more carefully and saw that he was indeed a member of a Trotskyist party, and wrote a cartoon book on Trotsky. The article also describes him as a "former Marxist", so I think it is safe to say that he is a former Trotskyist as well. I have never been attracted to Trotskyism or Marxism, but I don't think that a person's at one point in his life having subscribed to one or both of those ideologies is sufficient grounds for dismissing anything he has to say today, while evidently you do. (This position does not hold for former Trotskyists who are now neocons, since those people exchanged one unacceptable antidemocratic ideology for another, thus not learning anything from their initial error.)

Needless to say, I find your attitude very primitive, although I am not surprised by it, given the naive views of the American military adventure in Iraq you expressed earlier.

"Person x is a y (Anti-Semite, Trotskyist, ...) so I don't have to bother providing you with any arguments for why x's position on z is wrong" is a line I associate more with DailyKos than with the EuroTrib, but it could be the case that having a less crude representative of the Empire as US President has lead to a degradation in intellectual rigor at EuroTrib.

A bomb, H bomb, Minuteman / The names get more attractive / The decisions are made by NATO / The press call it British opinion -- The Three Johns

by Alexander on Sat Feb 20th, 2010 at 11:34:17 PM EST
[ Parent ]
.
Just reacting to the content of his article, all the rest is background info. Perhaps some tunnel vision, staying with past. Of course, to Tariq Ali the 9/11 plane hijackers were freedom fighters. My wrong.

About Tariq Ali

An Advisory Board member for Iraq Occupation Watch, Ali is a supporter of the "resistance" in Iraq and has called for the killing of U.S. troops stationed there. Intimating that the 9/11 attacks had given America a taste of its own medicine, Ali made his goals explicit in the May-June 2003 issue of New Left Review. There, he forecast that "the invaders of Iraq will eventually be harried out of the country by a growing national reaction to the occupation regime they install."

[Out of sympathy for Stalinist Saddam Hussein? - Oui]

"But I will not let myself be reduced to silence."

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Mon Feb 22nd, 2010 at 10:08:44 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Your source is DiscoverTheNetwork.org, which Sourcewatch describes thus
On February 15, 2005, Horowitz launched DiscoverTheNetwork, a website dedictated to tracking "leftists". It brings the Campus-Watch formula to the wider political arena. In the About Us section of the new website:
a "Guide to the Political Left." It identifies the individuals and organizations that make up the left and also the institutions that fund and sustain it; it maps the paths through which the left exerts its influence on the larger body politic; it defines the left's (often hidden) programmatic agendas and it provides an understanding of its history and ideas.[4]
Conversely, Sourcewatch is described by DiscoverTheNetwork.org as
A project of the Center for Media and Democracy (CMD), SourceWatch describes itself as an "encyclopedia of people, issues and groups shaping the public agenda." The subjects of these entries are individuals, issues, and organizations whose objectives and ideologies run the entire left-to-right political gamut.  

SourceWatch also seeks to expose what it calls the "propaganda activities of public relations firms" and the activities of organizations working "on behalf of corporations, governments and special interests." These "exposes," which tend to be critical of their subjects, deal predominantly with conservative entities.

Founded in 2003 under the name Disinfopedia, SourceWatch (which took its current name in 2005) reports that from April 2006 to April 2007 it received some 73 million page views. As of April 2007, the SourceWatch database contained more than 15,600 entries.

This is all so much fun...

En un viejo país ineficiente, algo así como España entre dos guerras civiles, poseer una casa y poca hacienda y memoria ninguna. -- Gil de Biedma
by Carrie (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Mon Feb 22nd, 2010 at 10:20:49 AM EST
[ Parent ]
.
Thanks, at least I did find a new link to the May-June 2003 issue of New Left Review.
I still need to read his referenced article.

"But I will not let myself be reduced to silence."

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Mon Feb 22nd, 2010 at 10:36:34 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I know it is a bit much to expect a fan of Horowitz to accept Tariq Ali as a source, but you'll agree it's going to be a little hard to get most people on this site to take Horowitz as a source.

So, is there a source that everyone involved in this debate will agree to accept? Somehow, I doubt it.

En un viejo país ineficiente, algo así como España entre dos guerras civiles, poseer una casa y poca hacienda y memoria ninguna. -- Gil de Biedma

by Carrie (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Mon Feb 22nd, 2010 at 10:46:07 AM EST
[ Parent ]
It's a good one and even if you disagree with him, he is quite entertaining.

And, if you cannot link to an NLR article because of rights or protections please do not hesitate to send me word or email me and I will send or the article.

The Hun is always either at your throat or at your feet. Winston Churchill

by r------ on Mon Feb 22nd, 2010 at 04:48:42 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I'm relieved that you don't seem to have been offended by my frank language. To "intimat[e] that the 9/11 attacks had given America a taste of its own medicine" is not to imply that the 9/11 attackers were freedom fighters, however. I don't think anyone any reasonable person would call a group freedom fighters unless they were defending their own soil against foreign invaders. (Even Reagan called the resistance that the CIA was backing in Afghanistan "freedom fighters" because they were fighting against the Soviets, not because they were involved in some kind of ideological struggle for "freedom" in the sense of liberal democracy etc. [Oops! My bad. Reagan called the Contras "freedom fighters" as well.]) On the other hand, there is the saying "One man's terrorist is another man's freedom fighter."

Since you intend to read Ali's article, here are two other articles available for free at the NLR Web site which give a representative view of how the Left views things:

Perry Anderson, editorial: Jottings on the Conjuncture. This is mostly about the present geopolitical situation. Underlying this account is the view that neoliberalism is a specifically American project, a view which I think is quite correct.

Susan Watkins, editorial: Shifting Sands. This is a review of responses to the current economic crisis and the degree to which it has made people reconsider neoliberalism. In short, it has not, and what everyone is calling for is regulation, something which Watkins observes "is in fact a hard-line liberal economic concept".

Incidentally, Watkins, who has been the editor of the NLR since 2003, is the wife of Tariq Ali. (I only learnt that after I read this piece of hers in the current issue.) Perry Anderson was the editor directly before her.

A bomb, H bomb, Minuteman / The names get more attractive / The decisions are made by NATO / The press call it British opinion -- The Three Johns

by Alexander on Mon Feb 22nd, 2010 at 07:46:53 PM EST
[ Parent ]
worth bringing up in this context? Is this supposed to discredit him?

And how does being Punjabi somehow relevant?

The Hun is always either at your throat or at your feet. Winston Churchill

by r------ on Sun Feb 21st, 2010 at 06:56:53 AM EST
[ Parent ]
.
Tariq Ali's writing abilities and descriptions of Obama and the United States are extraordinary for a political reader: as 'a steward of the American empire', 'imperial aggression', 'US and satellite forces', 'Afghan resistance', 'aerial terror over Pakistan', 'European auxiliaries', 'page boys in a medieval court', 'NATO praetorians'. I provided some links to get clarification of his background and was positively surprised. I does appear to be cold war rhetoric of a time passed with the desintegration of the Soviet Union and it's satellite states. Japanese, British, French, German and Dutch colonialism and empire building are historic, but why this frame of reference today? How about Chinese imperialism, colonization, human rights abuse and capture of world's precious metals.      

Furthermore his claim of pre-war Afghanistan and Taliban's legitimacy 'as dedicated base the Taliban had enjoyed'. As an historian this article has plenty of creativity and freedom of impression.

Of course, Tariq Ali is a person with a special background as I read in wikipedia. Another link gave more personal information from an interview in May 2003: Islam, Empire and the Left: Conversation with Tariq Ali. Ali only discusses foreign policy in terms of empires and imperial wars. His heritage is the Punjab, divided between Pakistan and India after slaughter of wars. This must have been very personal and he chose a career of political activism, yet escaped death by traveling to Britain for his education. India and Pakistan haven't been able to iron out their differences over decades. Both nations lack stability due to internal terror groups, or in terms of Tarig Ali: freedom or resistence fighters. I guess when the US retaliates after some freedom fighters committed the terror acts of 9/11, the US is accused of "imperial aggression." Reading the biography and the activism of his mother, yes I can believe in the struggle for workers rights in Pakistan and the communist support for an independence.

[Links provided to put Ali's one-sided rant in a bit of perspective, especially his view of the Taliban as 'freedom fighters' and the US as 'imperial aggressors' - Oui]

Wikipedia Tariq Ali

EARLY LIFE
Ali was born and raised in Lahore. The city was part of British India at the time of his birth in 1943, but became part of the newly-independent nation of Pakistan four years later. He is the son of journalist Mazhar Ali Khan and activist mother Tahira Mazhar Ali Khan (daughter of Sir Sikandar Hyat Khan who led the Unionist Muslim League and was later Prime Minister of the Punjab in 1937).

Ali's parents "both came from a very old, crusty, feudal family". His father had broken with the family's conventions in politics when he was a student, adopting communism, nationalism and atheism. Ali's mother also belonged to the same family, and became radicalized upon meeting his father. However, Ali was taught the fundamentals of Islam in order to be able to argue against it.

EMERGING ACTIVISM
While studying at the Punjab University, he organized demonstrations against Pakistan's military dictatorship. Ali's uncle was chief of Pakistan's Military Intelligence. His parents sent him to England to study at Exeter College, Oxford, where he studied Philosophy, Politics, and Economics. He was elected President of the Oxford Union, in 1965.

CAREER
His public profile began to grow during the Vietnam War, when he engaged in debates against the war with such figures as Henry Kissinger and Michael Stewart. As time passed, Ali became increasingly critical of American and Israeli foreign policies, and emerged as a figurehead for critics of American foreign policy across the globe. He was also a vigorous opponent of American relations with Pakistan that tended to back military dictatorships over democracy.

Separation of India and Punjab

"But I will not let myself be reduced to silence."

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Sun Feb 21st, 2010 at 05:02:20 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Calling the Taliban the resistance is factually correct. If the Nazis had got their werewolf program up and running they would have been the resistance. Country gets occupied, whoever takes up arms is the resistance. No morality involved.
by generic on Sun Feb 21st, 2010 at 06:58:53 PM EST
[ Parent ]
.
The civilians have no realisation of "terror" as these are very hospitable persons to all foreigners, especially al-Qaeda fighters. They welcome the Taliban because of their fundamental believe in the Islam, sharia law, rape of women and destruction of schools for girls. They are so medieval, their daily lives can be summed up as .... terror. Oh, are the Taliban mullahs the best what can happen to the NWF and Afghan people? My wrong.  

Obama resetting the sights of drone attacks

"But I will not let myself be reduced to silence."

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Mon Feb 22nd, 2010 at 08:52:11 AM EST
[ Parent ]
They are assholes. So?
by generic on Mon Feb 22nd, 2010 at 09:50:06 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Like the majority of white American males are.

The Hun is always either at your throat or at your feet. Winston Churchill
by r------ on Mon Feb 22nd, 2010 at 04:54:10 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Question: who is responsible for popularizing the term shock and awe to describe their own tactics? (Hint: it's not the Taliban)

En un viejo país ineficiente, algo así como España entre dos guerras civiles, poseer una casa y poca hacienda y memoria ninguna. -- Gil de Biedma
by Carrie (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Mon Feb 22nd, 2010 at 10:30:22 AM EST
[ Parent ]
If you have, I can see where you can say such things. I think them sometimes too and to be honest, Pathans, especially the women, do too.

Not all Pathans are as this. And not all Pakistanis of course are Pathans.

And especially, not all Muslims are as this. Having spent a lot of time there I too have to fight this.

The Hun is always either at your throat or at your feet. Winston Churchill

by r------ on Mon Feb 22nd, 2010 at 04:53:27 PM EST
[ Parent ]
What world do you live in? Are you denying that America is an empire and that it has hegemonic influence over Europe?

During Bush 2's presidency, America came to be openly described as an empire across the political spectrum, and not just negatively:

In my days as a student activist in the 1970s, the use of the term "imperialism" to describe US policy was generally used only in the antiwar and international solidarity movements, the writings of left-wing academics or the newspapers of small socialist splinter groups. Three decades later, the notion of American empire is gaining a degree of mainstream respectability, this time promoted by a strange convergence of right-wing unilateralists and humanitarian interventionists who see unbridled American power as the last, best hope for building a more stable world.

The most egregious recent example of this trend was the glaring red, white and blue cover story in the New York Times Magazine of January 5, "American Empire (Get Used to It)," in which Michael Ignatieff suggests that Americans are in "deep denial" over their country's imperial role and are therefore ill equipped to understand a central reality of our brave new post-9/11 world.

Not just Tariq Ali, but just about anyone who gets published in the New Left Review considers America to be an empire. So do liberals like Chalmers Johnson and Sheldon Wolyn, whose concept of inverted totalitarianism was diaried here recently.

And why do you find the phrase "aerial terror over Pakistan" "extraordinary"? Why do you think the unmanned drones are called "Predators" and what they fire called "Hellfire" missiles? The Pentagon's own names are meant to evoke terror.

I really find it hard to understand where you're coming from.

A bomb, H bomb, Minuteman / The names get more attractive / The decisions are made by NATO / The press call it British opinion -- The Three Johns

by Alexander on Sun Feb 21st, 2010 at 07:04:01 PM EST
[ Parent ]
So how does the US exert its "hegemonic" influence over Euopre? What the US essentially does is spend more on defence so we don't have to, without it really giving them any influence over internal European affairs. I'm not complaining about that.

Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.
by Starvid on Mon Feb 22nd, 2010 at 01:42:01 AM EST
[ Parent ]
So how does the US exert its "hegemonic" influence over Euopre?

WHy, getting us into Afghanistan. Divide-and-rule with bilateral treaties. Telling 'partners' which way to go in NATO. It's not working that good recently, though -- even if the Europeans practise sabotage instead of some own policy.

spend more on defence so we don't have to

Nothing the US military spends on is something we would have to: most of it is total waste, the rest imperial folly for adventures not serving defense or even counter-acting it with the blowback. This is just talk to get the vassals more pliant. And give more orders to the Mil-Ind complex.

any influence over internal European affairs

So why had separate EU military structures to be opposed so steadfastly?

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Mon Feb 22nd, 2010 at 04:51:00 AM EST
[ Parent ]
given day's FT gives a good inkling of the mechanism(s).

It is not obvious that US defence spending makes the EU anty safer; in fact, one could say, given the instablity the US causes with its military, due to its actions near our (not their) borders, quite the opposite is the case.

Sweden may not spend much on its defence. Here in France, we spend plenty. Speaking of larger Europe rather than just the EU, the Russians spend plenty, as does the UK. Not everyone is a free-rider ;-)

The Hun is always either at your throat or at your feet. Winston Churchill

by r------ on Mon Feb 22nd, 2010 at 06:15:06 AM EST
[ Parent ]
descriptions of Obama and the United States extraordinary for a political reader: as 'a steward of the American empire', 'imperial aggression', 'US and satellite forces', 'Afghan resistance', 'aerial terror over Pakistan', 'European auxiliaries', 'page boys in a medieval court', 'NATO praetorians'.

I don't find any of those extraordinary -- you are in denial.

* Steward of the American empire: as nanne wrote, Obama is an American exceptionalist like any other.

Renewing American Leadership | Foreign Affairs

After Iraq, we may be tempted to turn inward. That would be a mistake. The American moment is not over, but it must be seized anew...

* 'aerial terror over Pakistan': how else do do you call 'targeted assasinations' with heavy civilian toll in a country not even officially at war? And it's not just Pakistan, just the other day:


Nato airstrike kills 33 civilians in Afghanistan - Times Online

Initial reports indicated that Nato attacked a convoy of three vehicles on Sunday as they travelled towards Kandahar. The dead included four women and one child and 12 others were injured.

Amanullah Hotak, head of the Uruzgan provincial council, said that the people had been travelling in three mini-buses through a pass in the Char Cheno district.

Zamari Bashary, a spokesman for the Afghan Interior Ministry, said: "Isaf troops were suspicious that several civilian vehicles contained insurgents and bombed them."

The Afghanistan Council of Ministers strongly condemned the airstrike, saying it was "unjustifiable".



*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Mon Feb 22nd, 2010 at 05:10:22 AM EST
[ Parent ]
and, having spent a fair bit of time in Pakistan during one of those American-supported dictatorships (Zia al-Haq) I am not unsympathetic to his view of the US-Pakistan hegemon-client relationship. Additionally, his criticisms of Islam seem to me to be exactly what is in order : rational, cogent and certainly not the racist "fear of brown people" cant one hears from those who do not have his background. I particularly enjoyed, in this light, his simultaneous criticism of American protestant universalism and Islamic radicalism in "Clash of the Civilisations," and he is a longtime contributor to the New Left Review and I always look forward to reading his contributions there. Of course, his politics are left, and his father was a communist, which is to say in Pakistan, given his class origins, he was a good and honest man.

Being a Punjabi would colour his worldview as regards Pakistan only insofar as he did not likely have, like a Baluch or a Pathan, any clan or family relationship to Afghanistan. The same would be true were he to have been a Sindhi or to a bit less extent a Kashmiri. But this is to say he is more objective as regards Afghanistan, not less; were he to have been an Afridi from the Mardan area I would worry more that his intimate relations and interests in Afghanistan would colour his view of the conflict, than being from Punjab where he would not have a similar interested viewpoint.

 

The Hun is always either at your throat or at your feet. Winston Churchill

by r------ on Mon Feb 22nd, 2010 at 06:11:04 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Tariq Ali a Trotskyist, he is not my cup of tea.

Okay, with the ad-hominems out of the way, how is what he says wrong on the facts?

En un viejo país ineficiente, algo así como España entre dos guerras civiles, poseer una casa y poca hacienda y memoria ninguna. -- Gil de Biedma

by Carrie (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Sun Feb 21st, 2010 at 12:10:35 PM EST
[ Parent ]
It was British Trotskyists who managed to organise the million-strong nati-Iraq-War protest in London, too.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Mon Feb 22nd, 2010 at 05:30:27 AM EST
[ Parent ]
have taken months to formulate a new (exit) strategy (pdf).

...which could barely cover up the realisation of FUBAR. They don't really know what to do...

Barack Obama 'to reject Afghanistan war options in favour of plan with clear exit strategy' - Telegraph

According to US reports, it is not the first time he has asked for the four options thought to have been presented to him to be rewritten and he is putting up considerable resistance to the strategy put forward by the Gen Stanley McChrystal, the US Nato commander in Afghanistan, to increase troop numbers by 40,000 for a counterinsurgency drive.

Other options on the table include sending between 10,000 and 15,000 troops who will focus on training Afghan forces.

The latest development came as it emerged that the US Ambassador in Kabul, Gen Karl Eikenberry, has told Mr Obama that a surge of troops was "not a good idea" unless the Afghan government suceeded in reining in the corruption which spurred the Taliban insurgency.



*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Mon Feb 22nd, 2010 at 05:27:57 AM EST
[ Parent ]
You're caught in vague generalities and talking points when it comes to discussing whether there should ever be consequences for the war effort. How many months before we know whether COIN has worked? It's a simple question. It'll have been at least 24 in summer 2011.

The notion that setting a timeline for withdrawal would give the enemy an incentive to just lay low for a while has already done the rounds in the US debate over this 'transition' in 2011. It's silly. If the Taliban would lay low they'd help the central goverment build up its capacity and legitimacy. So I don't think they'd have an incentive. I also don't think it's their mentality to relent. Or to put that differently: that they'd have the strategic coherence to pull it off.

by nanne (zwaerdenmaecker@gmail.com) on Sat Feb 20th, 2010 at 05:53:09 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Display:

Occasional Series