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Looks like EU and US wind energy capacity expansion in 2009 is comparable after all... a 10 GW all draw!

notes from no w here
by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Wed Feb 3rd, 2010 at 03:09:05 PM EST
Europe is ahead. Why do you want to call it a draw? We kicked their ass. Unquestionably. Despite the naysayers. Europe is not doomed.

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes
by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Wed Feb 3rd, 2010 at 03:30:43 PM EST
[ Parent ]
It will be really weird if what I suspect is possible for China plays out. 12 gigs there I've heard. But no one knows. And stats there are notoriously "weird." Still, means China is in another world measured by capacity growth.

What does such strong growth mean with a capacity factor under 20%?

Still, one MUST respect the potential investment available there even if it willbe some time before standard performance is
met.

"Life shrinks or expands in proportion to one's courage." - Ana´s Nin

by Crazy Horse on Wed Feb 3rd, 2010 at 03:59:03 PM EST
[ Parent ]
:-)

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Wed Feb 3rd, 2010 at 04:16:22 PM EST
[ Parent ]
In the world of sport you are only as good as your last game.  The fact that you may have won the league 10 years in a row is irrelevant if you lost (or in this case drew) the last one.  However I will give the last word to DoDo since the EU was marginally ahead.  But losing to China?  Shit!  They weren't even in the first division last year.

I suppose its nearly time for me to do my annual Rugby Diary on the 6 Nations detailing how Ireland is going to kick the French Ass for cheating us out of the world cup and Gouging Stephen Ferris' eyes twice in one match.  What is it about the French not being able to keep their hands to themselves and their fingers out of other people's eyes?

notes from no w here

by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Thu Feb 4th, 2010 at 12:24:54 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Don't be modest: 'we' beat 'them' by 231 MW, nyah nyah nyah...

Seriously, both showed better than expected numbers. Now we'll await the numbers from China.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Wed Feb 3rd, 2010 at 03:49:25 PM EST
[ Parent ]
But US stats include GE 1.5, like including GM in the Dow

"Life shrinks or expands in proportion to one's courage." - Ana´s Nin
by Crazy Horse on Wed Feb 3rd, 2010 at 04:03:30 PM EST
[ Parent ]
That wasn't a long wait: GWEC release.

  • They say China more than doubled installed capacity, adding 13 GW for a 25.1 GW total (undoubtedly they overtook Germany in January).
  • India continued at its leisure pace, but was fifth to join the 10GW+ club too.
  • Canada added almost 1GW. The remaining two of the 1GW+ club, Australia and Japan, progressed more slowly -- though Rudd-land's lag behind Canada is from the previous years.
  • Like Denmark, New Zealand (the major country with the best wind resource in the world) waked from politically-induced standstill and reached 0.5GW.
  • The African Mediterranean countries and Latin America continue to emerge, but none reached 1GW yet.

Altogether 17 countries in the 1GW+ club.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Thu Feb 4th, 2010 at 05:15:42 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Oh, and world totals: 157.9 GW cumulative (still almost half of it in the EU), 37.5 GW newly installed.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Thu Feb 4th, 2010 at 05:18:38 AM EST
[ Parent ]
That round 13,000MW number for China smells fishy...

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes
by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Thu Feb 4th, 2010 at 07:50:37 AM EST
[ Parent ]
It could be PR, but it could be simple loss of bureaucratic oversight. But Crazy Horse said best, we'll see what they generate actually.

Regarding bureaucratic oversight, I note that at least a few years ago, as I discovered when I wanted to do some stats of my own and fed wind farm lists into a spreadsheet, it was the more precise numbers (to the kW, but even those to the MW) released by the big national wind associations that were ridiculous. On one hand, the database maintainers were incapable of correct addition and multiplication resp. feeding into a spreadsheet to do the math (BWEA's still isn't...), on the other hand, delayed or PR-motivated premature project completion announcements from developers led to corrections. So it was always give or take 5%.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Thu Feb 4th, 2010 at 08:06:28 AM EST
[ Parent ]
As late as last summer, roughly 25% of Chinese wind turbines were still awaiting grid connection, a significant problem there.  With such explosive growth, it would not be hard to imagine that there remain a significant number unconnected.

"Life shrinks or expands in proportion to one's courage." - Ana´s Nin
by Crazy Horse on Thu Feb 4th, 2010 at 01:00:46 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Modesty is my middle name...

notes from no w here
by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Thu Feb 4th, 2010 at 12:25:24 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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