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You'll note that Switzerland is in the Alps.

More critically, unlike the US, in Switzerland, when freight is overtaken by passenger rail, the freight not only is supposed to but also can and does shunt aside to let the passenger rail through, and since the electrification is to permit ruling grades as steep as 2.6% (~1:40), freight is normally slower than passenger rail.

Hence the base tunnels ... to get longer freight trains moving at a speed to allow it to make more progress before shunting aside to allow passenger trains to overtake, the base tunnels allow the ruling grade to be brought down to 1.2% (~1:80) overland and 0.7% (~1:140) in the tunnels themselves.

The US already has the mainlines that allow longer freight trains to move at their own pace without constantly shunting aside to let passenger trains through. Electrifying those corridors will reduce their operating costs and also upgrade their capacity, given the higher power/weight ratio of electric versus diesel electric traction.

That upgrade in capacity will allow rail operators to chase business that is at present marginal.

And at the same time and more critically in terms of total impact on the status of the US as a dependent economy, the US mainlines tend to be 1% grades (1:100), and even lines crossing the Rockies can be routed so that the majority of the long haul route is at that grade. A combination of 100mph paths on the flatter terrain that include superelevation (banking) to allow curves to be taken at 90mph~100mph without excessive wear, and 40mph~50mph paths with 2.5% grades to cut out extended switchbacks in the rough terrain offers a substantially faster path for freight ... and at the same time the existing heavy freight paths with their existing capacity support faster conventional freight with lower operating costs.

Its not a conversion of existing capacity, but an upgrade of existing capacity and addition of new capacity.


I've been accused of being a Marxist, yet while Harpo's my favourite, it's Groucho I'm always quoting. Odd, that.

by BruceMcF (agila61 at netscape dot net) on Thu Mar 18th, 2010 at 12:16:33 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Ok, we have reached the point where I have no further cards to play :)  It would be nice to have an example where electrification and speed upgrades alone changed the mode share.  The best we can do perhaps is high speed passenger transport, but surely the factors that affect that split are completely different (people care about time in a way that consumer goods don't).  Or maybe DoDo has a real world example?
by njh on Thu Mar 18th, 2010 at 07:42:39 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Its quality of service and cost of service that changes mode share. The Steel Interstate proposal is not based on a generic benefit of electrification and speed upgrades but on specific qualities of service that become possible with rail freight in competing for long haul diesel semi truck freight transport as a result of electrification and establishment of express freight rail paths.

I've been accused of being a Marxist, yet while Harpo's my favourite, it's Groucho I'm always quoting. Odd, that.
by BruceMcF (agila61 at netscape dot net) on Thu Mar 18th, 2010 at 09:52:21 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I do think that electrification and speed upgrades alone are insufficient, and making policy choices (f.e. highway toll for trucks as in Germany, or transalpine limitations as in Switzerland, or subsidies for local railfreight as in both Switzerland and Austria) counts. Also, in the Alpine context, with electrification done long ago, the effect is not a change in modal share but maintaining a higher share.

However, based on the development of the port traffic, electrification and speed upgrades appear to be the way to go: Rotterdam's port traffic is migrating to electric traction with the final bits of electrification on the Betuweroute going on-line end of last year, and the same happened a few months earlier on Antwerp's port traffic, with the electrification of the Montzen route (to Aachen/Germany) finished in early 2009. But how that affects the modal split, we'll see only in the coming years.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Fri Mar 19th, 2010 at 04:34:08 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I found 2008 numbers (first full year with Betuweroute operational):

Rail Tops 1 Million TEUs at Rotterdam | Journal of Commerce

Rail traffic grew 11.6 percent in 2008 to 1.01 million TEUs from 950,000 TEUs in the previous year even as overall container volume stagnated at 10.8 million TEUs, the port authority said.

Trucking slipped 5.7 percent to 4.48 million TEUs while inland shipping declined 4.4 percent to 2.34 million TEUs.

Rail's share of box traffic to and from Rotterdam gained two percent to 13 percent while road transport lost two percent to 57 percent and barging was stable at 30 percent.

In contrast, for Hamburg's port, which has electric connection for long, 70% of the containers transported on to the European hinterland are carried by rail in 2003 (slides 8, 11); much more in absolute numbers than in Rotterdam:

Hamburg Box Traffic Plunged 27.8 Percent | Journal of Commerce

Total container volume at the port of Hamburg in the first nine months of the year fell 27.8 percent from a year ago to 5.3 million 20-foot equivalent units, driving the port into third place among Europe's container ports, after Rotterdam and now Antwerp.

...Antwerp moved into second place, handling 5.4 million TEUs in the first nine months, down 18.4 percent from the corresponding period in 2008.

Rotterdam consolidated its top ranking with a more modest 13 percent decline to 7.2 million TEUs in the first three quarters of 2009.

...Inland rail container traffic fell 19 percent in the first nine months to 1.2 million TEUs in the first nine months but this did not result in a reduction in the number of services, the port said.

(Note: the 5.3 million TEU overall container traffic includes ship-dominated transit, road-dominated local delivery, and on-site unloading.)

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Fri Mar 19th, 2010 at 04:54:36 AM EST
[ Parent ]

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