So is there any analysis anywhere of the 100 seats in play and the likely players, swing factors, local issues, strong candidates and any opinion polling data?  It seems quite difficult to get hard data or real local analysis on UK politics other than the bland national polls and dodgy conversions into likely seat numbers.  How do people decide who are the real players at local level and ths avoid wasting their vote?  Is tactical voting really all that prevalent and isn't the relative abstention rate the most likely swing factor in many instances?.

In NI I wasn't able to find a single poll in advance of the Europeans on which to base informed comment!

notes from no w here