Welcome to European Tribune. It's gone a bit quiet around here these days, but it's still going.
5% is a very good rate for Greece in this atmosphere.

Whether it will enable them to cut into their deficit is another story. That all depends on what they do in the market with this 5% peg. 40 billion from the EU and IMF at, say, 4.6% (3/4 EU loan at 5% and 1/4 IMF loan at 3.25%) may be offset by much higher loans at either 6 or 7% in the market. If Greece can sell at 6%, then the mix with the 4.6% will help them to slog through. But if they are selling at 7%, then the 4.6% may not be enough.

Other factors come into play, such as Greece's forecast uses 4.5% as the number to predict next year's deficit. Also, older Greek bonds from the pre-eurozone days are maturing. Wolfgang Munchau has stated that Greece's bond structure shows a healthy mix with a long average maturity at low rates and the bonds expiring shortly are at high rates.

We shall see.

by Upstate NY on Sun Apr 11th, 2010 at 04:39:33 PM EST
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