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I think your scenario

I wonder if the net impact of what we're seeing here is that Greek debt--held by German and French banks--is rolling over to Greek banks with every new issue. And the Greek bank is allowed to keep buying because its Greek bonds are cleared as assets through the ECB. In the end, the Greek banks will own a much heftier amount of Greek debt--rather than banks in the eurozone--and that this will be the cutoff point for Greece, the point at which they can conceivably be lead to restructure without other euro countries taking the hit. This would mean the collapse of Greek banks, because it would be absurd to transfer the debt back to the country after this whole fiasco.

is actually a good thing...

The brainless should not be in banking -- Willem Buiter

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Apr 13th, 2010 at 12:48:36 PM EST
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