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Cameron couldn't win a majority against one of the least popular PMs in recent history, after the expenses scandal, bigotgate, massive spending on marginals, support from Murdoch and the gutter MSM, and last year's econo-meltdown and banking crisis.

That's the elephant in the room few people seem to be talking about.

Cameron blew it.  No escaping the fact.  He's shy of 326 seats - predicted, god knows how it will all end - and without the Lib/Dems it's hard (for me) to see how he forms a stable government.

She believed in nothing; only her skepticism kept her from being an atheist. -- Jean-Paul Sartre

by ATinNM on Fri May 7th, 2010 at 01:47:48 AM EST
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In terms of the "expectations game" the clear winner tonight is actually Labour.  Tories needed a majority and LibDems needed to beat Labour.  All Labour needed to do was not get completely blown out of the frame.

They succeeded in that and now have the kingmaker role.  The UK has a situation where the current government has been partially defeated yet no other suitable victor has been established.  This means that the defeated party in power will draw up the terms of the armistice.  

Portions of the Labour platform won tonight.  I believe PR has also won.  What have the Tories won, exactly?  Their racist wing didn't get them over the top and everybody else is loathe to work with them.  Plus, the popular vote totals do not reflect a great desire for a Tory government.

by paving on Fri May 7th, 2010 at 02:19:17 AM EST
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Ideologically the Center-Left won but that's not the government the UK is going to get.

No way Conservatives and Labour form a 'National Unity' government, thus Labour can't play kingmaker.

She believed in nothing; only her skepticism kept her from being an atheist. -- Jean-Paul Sartre

by ATinNM on Fri May 7th, 2010 at 02:31:20 AM EST
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I think the only option for Labour and the Lib Dems is to get together with regionals, for a majority and put someone other than Brown in charge.

With all of them in together they are a clear popular majority.

This will be the first real coalition government you've seen in the UK, with everybody having to work together (except the Tories, who of course would never do such a thing) to get anything done.

Will Labour give in to PR?  Maybe.

Something to consider about the LibDems is their constituency.  After introduction of PR what distinguishes them?  I suspect they are like a bee that will quickly die after using their stinger.  In a PR scenario, Labour is not necessarily condemned to a minority future.  Unless you think most of the LibDem voters will somehow go Tory.  If they were to do such a thing they would have all done it tonight.

by paving on Fri May 7th, 2010 at 02:45:45 AM EST
[ Parent ]

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