Welcome to European Tribune. It's gone a bit quiet around here these days, but it's still going.
Display:
I have not been able to find out how many votes the far-right xenophobe party polled, but they seem to be fairly insignificant.

The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman
by dvx (dvx.clt št gmail dotcom) on Sun May 9th, 2010 at 04:26:36 PM EST
We'll see when the official site releases the preliminary results... they don't include small parties in the advance constituency results.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Sun May 9th, 2010 at 04:33:01 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Ah, only on the map! But in the constituency tables, it's there. For example Duisburg III: Pro-NRW (the xenophobes) 3.8% (more than the FDP at 3.5%), Pirates 1.6%.

In Aachen I however, it's Greens 20.0%, FDP 7.4%, Left Party 5.5%, Pirates 4.2%, pro-NRW 0.8%.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Sun May 9th, 2010 at 05:00:02 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Duisburg I@: pro NRW on 4.6%...

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Sun May 9th, 2010 at 05:02:37 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Interesting. While pro NRW's results in the individual constituencies have a wild variation between 0.5% and 5%, the neo-Nazi NPD seems rather stable around 1% across the state.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Sun May 9th, 2010 at 05:30:45 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Aw shit. The preliminary results match ARD's last projection.

PartyList voteChangeSeatsChange
Turnout/total59.32%-3.66181-6
CDU (Christian Democrat)34.56%-10.2867-22
SPD (Social Democrats)34.48%-2.6267-7
Greens12.12%+5.9523+11
FDP ([neo]liberals)6.73%+0.5713+1
Left Party (Socialist)†5.60%+2.5111+11
Pirates (data freedom)1.54%+1.540+/-0
pro NRW (xenophobes)1.38%+1.380+/-0
NPD (neo-Nazi far-right)0.72%-0.180+/-0
Animal Protection Party0.62%+0.540+/-0
Pensioners0.50%+0.500+/-0
Family0.41%+0.360+/-0
Republicans (tax-cut far-right)0.30%-0.510+/-0
BIG (immigrants)0.18%-2.030+/-0
The Party (satirical magazine joke)0.13%+0.120+/-0
PBC (creationists)0.12%+0.040+/-0
Plebiscite (direct democracy far-right)0.10%+0.100+/-0
ödp (conservative Green)0.10%-0.090+/-0
† In 2005, Left Party progenitors PDS and WASG ran separately, getting 0.89% and 2.21%.

The combined far-right (pro NRW, NPD, Rep, Plebiscite) is 2.50% (+0.79).

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Mon May 10th, 2010 at 02:15:47 AM EST
[ Parent ]
So, to repeat from last night in more detail:

  1. Red-Green (SPD+Greens): one short of majority, would be possible as minority government with Left Party outside support, but a leader of the latter was negative on it
  2. Black-Green (CDU+Greens): one short of majority
  3. Grand Coalition (CDU+SPD): would have comfortable majority
  4. Red-Red-Green (SPD+Left Party+Greens): would have majority, but SPD against
  5. Traffic Lights (SPD+FDP+Greens): would have majority, but NRW FDP strongly against the other two and vice versa
  6. Jamaica (CDU+FDP+Greens): would have majority, but NRW FDP and Greens incompatible

If I am a pessimist (from my political point of view), this is heading for a Grand Coalition. If I am an optimist, maybe the Greens can get the SPD swallow some level of cooperation with the Left Party.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Mon May 10th, 2010 at 02:26:58 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Franz Walter is a senior political scientist close to the Greens. In the past year or two, I noted him as one of the public figures laying the ideological foundation for (and implicitly advocating) Black-Green coalitions as a Green option.

Now in the SPIEGEL, Walter writes about an emotional revival for Red-Green in the populace, with the CDU's scare tactics no more working and Harz-IV blamed only on Schröder, Clement and Münte; reminiscences how the partners in NRW are much more ready for each other than back in the nineties (under Wolfgang "coal lobby" Clement) -- and ends with the suggestion that, would Red-Green see itself as a project, then they should now open and expand the Red [meaning: to the Left Party).

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Mon May 10th, 2010 at 02:08:40 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The last few years saw the full emergence of a five part system (Fünfparteiensystem) in Germany: the federal parliament and most regional parliaments consist of the big CDU/CSU and SPD and the smaller FDP, Greens and the Left Party. This is a Reunification prcess: the Left Party spread in the West, and the Greens in the East. The exceptions that remain:

  • Left Party: Bavaria, Baden-Württenberg, Rhineland-Palatinate
  • Greens: Rhineland-Palatinate, Saxony-Anhalt, Mecklenburg-Vorpommern
  • FDP: Hamburg

As polls stand, the exceptions could reduce to one state for each small party next year (when Rhineland-Palatinate, Baden-Württenberg and Mecklenburg-Vorpommern vote).

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Tue May 11th, 2010 at 04:35:55 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Piraten keeps the position of biggest outside parliament that they acquired in the Bundestag elections. Good for them.

Sweden's finest (and perhaps only) collaborative, leftist e-newspaper Synapze.se
by A swedish kind of death on Mon May 10th, 2010 at 10:39:23 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Votes for a satirical magazine joke party actually count?

"Pretending that you already know the answer when you don't is not actually very helpful." ~Migeru.
by poemless on Mon May 10th, 2010 at 03:39:35 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Well, they were denied the ballot in the federal elections... and called for a vote for the Pirates.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Mon May 10th, 2010 at 03:50:06 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Cool.

"Pretending that you already know the answer when you don't is not actually very helpful." ~Migeru.
by poemless on Mon May 10th, 2010 at 03:55:03 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Since this is NRW,

I guess a joke party was okay with them.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Mon May 10th, 2010 at 05:57:41 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Display:

Top Diaries

Occasional Series