The 10pm result in the diary is the projection of public television ARD (second public television ZDF's 21:45 projection sees the SPD ahead).

But, as I predicted in the diary, the balance began to move back in the next projection:
CDU 34.6%
SPD 34.5%
Greens 12.1%
FDP 6.8%
Left Party 5.5%

Still, in seats, a Grand Coalition is the only two-party coalition with a majority:
CDU 67
SPD 67
Greens 23
FDP 13
Left Party 11


_{*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.}