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the powers that be in Spain got fed up with Merkel and the DB and attacked full force unilaterally publishing the stress tests of german banks...
the spanish intelligentsia and propaganda machinery is insisting that german banks are dead-man walking... that Santander is so fine...
Merkel was forced to say yes to all the European countries against the will of the german banking community...
How much real power the german banks have? Can they get the head of Merkel?
Do they need her there for the next bail out? or will they be pissed off by the betrayal? What can and would they do?
Is really merkel doomed or has still power?
And, is she useful if she fails her purpose of getting to control the UE finances and monetary policies?
A pleasure I therefore claim to show, not how men think in myths, but how myths operate in men's minds without their being aware of the fact. Levi-Strauss, Claude
Was that really focused on German banks, or on Spanish banks?
At any rate, in Germany, it is reported that the banking sector didn't like the idea at all, while anonymous government people say that the rest of Europe should follow or else be suspect of hiding dark secrets. DB boss Ackermann for his part demanded that stress tests not be published before bailout packages are prepared for the weak banks that will inevitably be attacked after publishing. But that was yesterday, today the Council approved the release of the stress tests, and the German bankers' association gave up resistance.
Can they get the head of Merkel?
I doubt it. But, if Germany is still Germany Inc, maybe the entire economic elite can.
European Commission wants Spain to cut even more
Germany elites have lost confidence in Merkel and her government An poll, regularly carried by Capital Magazine, shows that Germany's elites have lost confidence in the Merkel government, and also in the chancellor personally. The poll is not representative of the country's at large, but those polled, which include CEOs and state premiers, tend to lead public opinion, which is why this poll is taken seriously. 92% of those questions expressed disappointment about the government. Three quarters believe the government is too weak to master the challenges ahead. 49% think that Merkel is weak chancellor, her worst rating since she became chancellor in 2005. Interesting are some of the reasons for the discontent. The elites want Merkel to step up the drive to austerity, and believe that the recently announced measures are insufficient. The only highlight was Merkel's handling of the Greek crisis, which was generally approved.
Germany elites have lost confidence in Merkel and her government
An poll, regularly carried by Capital Magazine, shows that Germany's elites have lost confidence in the Merkel government, and also in the chancellor personally. The poll is not representative of the country's at large, but those polled, which include CEOs and state premiers, tend to lead public opinion, which is why this poll is taken seriously. 92% of those questions expressed disappointment about the government. Three quarters believe the government is too weak to master the challenges ahead. 49% think that Merkel is weak chancellor, her worst rating since she became chancellor in 2005. Interesting are some of the reasons for the discontent. The elites want Merkel to step up the drive to austerity, and believe that the recently announced measures are insufficient. The only highlight was Merkel's handling of the Greek crisis, which was generally approved.
Then again, whom would they replace Merkel with.
It is way too early to bury them, she still has power and so have her ministers (in this context: Schäuble the finance minister). But what they elect to use that power for, is another thing... *Lunatic*, n. One whose delusions are out of fashion.
the powers that be in Spain got fed up with Merkel and the DB and attacked full force unilaterally publishing the stress tests of german banks... Was that really focused on German banks, or on Spanish banks?
Basically, Germany overplayed its hand when Frankfurter Allgemeine last Friday gave credence to the rumour that Spain would have to ask for a bailout possibly even before yesterday's bond auction. The Spanish Central Bank called FAZ's bluff, and Merkel folded today.
The Spanish government's bond auction yesterday was successful, too. By laying out pros and cons we risk inducing people to join the debate, and losing control of a process that only we fully understand. - Alan Greenspan
That's why she went? The government announcement heads the agenda with the financial transfer tax, as something on which a strong joint position would be needed as signal ahead of the G20 summit. Next is the Franco-German push for punishing deficit violators... the stress tests aren't mentioned.
As for what the government thinks and says behind closed doors, we can only speculate, but in this article, written during negotiations,
"Da kann man dann besser reagieren.""Then one can governreact better."
Berlin Supports Transparency: German Flip-Flops on European Bank Stress Tests - SPIEGEL ONLINE - News - International
According to an article in the Financial Times Deutschland on Thursday, Berlin is prepared to buck the intense opposition of German financial institutes and back the publishing of stress-test data. The report was confirmed by a Finance Ministry spokesman on Thursday. News of the course change comes a day after the governor of the Bank of Spain, Miguel Angel Fernandez Ordonez, said that Spain would move forward on its own even if the rest of Europe did not. The central bank, he said, "plans to disclose stress-test results ... so markets can perfectly assess the situation of Spain's banking system." Fretting About Health Madrid's push to reveal the results of the tests stems partially from a German media reports earlier in the week and repeated in Spanish business paper El Economista on Wednesday that the EU, the International Monetary Fund and the US Treasury were assembling a 250 billion ($335 billion) credit line for Spain. Both Spain and the European Commission were, however, quick to deny the rumor.
According to an article in the Financial Times Deutschland on Thursday, Berlin is prepared to buck the intense opposition of German financial institutes and back the publishing of stress-test data. The report was confirmed by a Finance Ministry spokesman on Thursday.
News of the course change comes a day after the governor of the Bank of Spain, Miguel Angel Fernandez Ordonez, said that Spain would move forward on its own even if the rest of Europe did not. The central bank, he said, "plans to disclose stress-test results ... so markets can perfectly assess the situation of Spain's banking system."
Fretting About Health
Madrid's push to reveal the results of the tests stems partially from a German media reports earlier in the week and repeated in Spanish business paper El Economista on Wednesday that the EU, the International Monetary Fund and the US Treasury were assembling a 250 billion ($335 billion) credit line for Spain. Both Spain and the European Commission were, however, quick to deny the rumor.
European Tribune - Barroso to plebes: nice indebted democracy you have there...
El Banco de España publicará las pruebas de estrés a la banca para demostrar su solidez · ELPAÍS.comThe Bank of Spain will publish the stress tests of [Spain's] banking to prove its solidity.El gobernador del Banco de España, Miguel Ángel Fernández Ordóñez, ha revelado hoy que se propone hacer público "el resultado de las pruebas de estrés a la banca" para demostrar la solidez del sistema financiero español.The governor of the Bank of Spain, Miguel Ángel Fernández Ordóñez, today revealed that he intends to publish "the result of the banking stress tests" to prove the solidity of Spain's financial system. This on the heels of yesterday's European Tribune - Comments - European Salon de News, Discussion et Klatsch - 15 JuneEspaña quiere que se publiquen los resultados del examen a sus bancos · ELPAÍS.comSpain wants the results of stress tests of its banks to be published - ElPais.com"Si se conocieran los resultados de los test, habría más de una sorpresa", alegan las fuentes consultadas, que subrayan la buena nota obtenida por las entidades españolas. No todos quieren que se conozcan. Josef Ackermann, máximo ejecutivo del Deutsche Bank, declaró el viernes que sería "muy, muy peligroso" difundir los resultados de las pruebas."If the results of the tests were known, there would be more than one surprise", claim the sources consulted, who underscore the good grade obtained by Spanish entities. Not everyone wants them to be known. Josef Ackermann, chief executive of Deutsche Bank, said last Friday that it would be "very, very dangerous" to release the results of the tests.
This on the heels of yesterday's
European Tribune - Comments - European Salon de News, Discussion et Klatsch - 15 June
España quiere que se publiquen los resultados del examen a sus bancos · ELPAÍS.comSpain wants the results of stress tests of its banks to be published - ElPais.com"Si se conocieran los resultados de los test, habría más de una sorpresa", alegan las fuentes consultadas, que subrayan la buena nota obtenida por las entidades españolas. No todos quieren que se conozcan. Josef Ackermann, máximo ejecutivo del Deutsche Bank, declaró el viernes que sería "muy, muy peligroso" difundir los resultados de las pruebas."If the results of the tests were known, there would be more than one surprise", claim the sources consulted, who underscore the good grade obtained by Spanish entities. Not everyone wants them to be known. Josef Ackermann, chief executive of Deutsche Bank, said last Friday that it would be "very, very dangerous" to release the results of the tests.
The beginning of the summit. The swing was first reported last morning by FTD. As for a reason for the swing, there is that first article I paraphrased, "anonymous government people say that the rest of Europe should follow or else be suspect of hiding dark secrets" (I could post a full translation in an hour).
Who will be the loser (politically) as a result? Ackermann or Merkel?
On this, neither. The German media coverage of the summit focuses on the austerity consensus and the Merkel resp. Franco-German failure with the financial transfer tax. But surely this is a loss of face for Ackermann for speaking out personally, now that the whole bankers' association folded. *Lunatic*, n. One whose delusions are out of fashion.
In short, FTD views the stress test publication as a deception, because the problematic Spanish banks aren't covered by the stress tests. Later on the FTD article writes that the German federal government s now more open than in the past, and recounts that the Grand Coalition government was vehemently against a publication when stress tests were first agreed in 2009, suggesting that that was grounded in the low capitalisation of some German banks.
Then the FTD was first reporting the change of opinion on Wednesday (below from the online summary of a print-only article):
Most other media reported the change by paraphrasing FTD, for example in SPIEGEL's version, only the intro line can be viewed as commentary:
It is again interesting how the "flip-flop" SPIEGEL International article you quote (signed as "cgh -- with wire reports") has a different spin than the articles in the German edition.
In Handelsblatt, I find a more complete report on what Axel Weber and the finance ministry state secretary said. Turns out I interpreted Weber wrong, he was more proactive (calling for an expansion of stress tests), mentioned Soffin himself; and the state secretary only endorsed that, while adding further expansionary proposals himself:
These proposals to widen the stress tests explains something that did not make sense to me before: the resistance against the publication drive came not just from Ackermann, but representatives of smaller banks and even the head of the association of savings banks, none of which is currently under the reach of EU stress tests.
The article I paraphrased first upthread, is a Die Welt article on the banks' opposition, and the bit giving a possible reason for the German government's swing is:
Ahead of the EU summit, the expected EU consensus for publication was even spun as a result of the German government's swing:
The Spanish central bank is only the trigger rather than the forcer of everyone's hands in this spin. Note that on the same day, FTD wrote a lead article opposing the publication (echoing Ackermann about a supposed lack of mitigation preparedness, and arguing for more strict own capital requirements instead).
Handelsblatt was more moderate (but their source missed Austria from the oponents' list). After noting Spain's lead,
So overall, it is a policy win for the government and a loss of the banking sector in the eyes of the German business media.
A final remark: it seems that one central rationale of the German government that was reported, but was not recognised in the media comments with their focus on countries is: the hoped-for positive effect of the publication on interbank lending. But before the FTD report of the German government's swing, Handelsblatt wrote without specifying sources:
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