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"accounting identity savings = investment"

That's not a GAAP. GAAP records spending. Spending amounts (values) are classified either asset or liability.

Balance sheet asset category, "investment activity," refers to both cash equivalent value of securities held for sale (of which guidance boards permit a variety of valuation methodologies including purchase price applicable to this asset type) and income, if any, from interest- and dividend-earning securities.

"savings = investment" is a finance supposition; it's not even a mathematical identity.


Diversity is the key to economic and political evolution.

by Cat on Wed Jun 9th, 2010 at 04:29:28 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I hope you're not being deliberately obtuse here
Savings identity or the savings investment identity is a concept in National Income Accounting stating that the amount saved (S) in an economy will be amount invested (I). More specifically, in an open economy (an economy with foreign trade and capital flows), governmental borrowing plus private investment must equal private savings plus foreign investment. In other words, investment must be financed by some combination of private domestic savings, government savings (surplus), and foreign savings (foreign capital inflows).

Note that this is an "identity", meaning it is true by definition. This identity only holds true because investment here is defined as including inventories. Thus, should consumers decide to save more, and spend less, the fall in demand would lead to an increase in business inventories. The change in inventories brings savings and investment into balance without any intention by business to increase investment.



By laying out pros and cons we risk inducing people to join the debate, and losing control of a process that only we fully understand. - Alan Greenspan
by Carrie (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Jun 9th, 2010 at 04:43:17 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I'm not being obtuse at all.

savings investment identity is a concept in National Income Accounting

"National income accounting" is what it is, a model to estimate GNP/GDP.

Diversity is the key to economic and political evolution.

by Cat on Wed Jun 9th, 2010 at 07:14:32 PM EST
[ Parent ]
It is, indeed, "accounting", though not in the sense of "accounting" as in "GAAP".

By laying out pros and cons we risk inducing people to join the debate, and losing control of a process that only we fully understand. - Alan Greenspan
by Carrie (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Jun 10th, 2010 at 04:23:31 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I think you're a bit confused here.

Be nice to America. Or we'll bring democracy to your country.
by Drew J Jones (pedobear@pennstatefootball.com) on Wed Jun 9th, 2010 at 06:28:23 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I meant to demonstrate a distinction between the meaning of "savings" according to generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) and the meaning of "savings" according to whatever economic or finance nomenclature being repeated here.

"savings = investment" is not an "accounting identity" because, according to GAAP, savings is money (or cash equivalent) not spent or otherwise disposed --even for a productive purpose such as "investment." Savings is an amount of retained income. The only "savings" recorded in a financial statement, according to GAAP, is the market value of cash. Currency is an asset type recorded on a balance sheet; the value fluctuates from reporting period to reporting period.

Value terminology employed for national income accounting purposes remotely resemble those standardized by GAAP. That annoys me.

I apologize for commenting on the subject. Again.

Diversity is the key to economic and political evolution.

by Cat on Wed Jun 9th, 2010 at 08:27:55 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Cat:
Value terminology employed for national income accounting purposes remotely resemble those standardized by GAAP. That annoys me.
If you could develop in a diary or comment what you think National Income Accounting should be like that would be interesting.

Otherwise, this is like a physicist, a chemist, and a perpetual motion machine crank getting annoyed at each other for using different meanings of the words "free energy"

By laying out pros and cons we risk inducing people to join the debate, and losing control of a process that only we fully understand. - Alan Greenspan

by Carrie (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Jun 10th, 2010 at 04:26:00 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Being a little bit more constructive, one can picture the economy as a network with a balance sheet at each node and cash flows on the links. The net of the cash flows at each node gives you the income statement for that node, and the sum total of all the unsigned cash flows on the links give you "national" income.

What's wrong with that picture or how do actual accounting and actual national accounting differ from it?

By laying out pros and cons we risk inducing people to join the debate, and losing control of a process that only we fully understand. - Alan Greenspan

by Carrie (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Jun 10th, 2010 at 04:55:23 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Is money conserved over the network?
by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Thu Jun 10th, 2010 at 06:51:46 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Each node can be a source or sink.
by generic on Thu Jun 10th, 2010 at 07:28:01 AM EST
[ Parent ]
But the cash flow on a link contributes a positive amount to the money balance of the destination node and a negative amount to the origin node, so the total doesn't change.

Money nonconservation comes from credit in the form of intertemporal links.

By laying out pros and cons we risk inducing people to join the debate, and losing control of a process that only we fully understand. - Alan Greenspan

by Carrie (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Jun 10th, 2010 at 09:00:48 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I was thinking in terms of credit, but even without taking credit into account, what prevents a node from saving? Or more accurately: hoarding?
by generic on Thu Jun 10th, 2010 at 09:20:42 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Given that the total balance is zero, either the time-average of the money flow into each node is zero, or some nodes will have a net average loss of money. This is unsustainable and eventually these nodes will go bankrupt. Since nodes abhor negative money balances, these balances will be compensated by issuing IOUs instead of paying outright. This means that the total money mass grows in proportion to the unsigned sum of the nodes' net money flows. This is inflation.

The more volatile transaction prices and volumes are, the larger will this unsigned sum of net money flows be, and the more credit will be created to prevent parts of the network from dying (going bankrupt). This means that inflation is correlated with market volatility.

So, the freer the market the larger the inflation of the money mass. Price and volume control, be it through market power or regulation, reduces volatility and the pressure to create credit and inflation.

By laying out pros and cons we risk inducing people to join the debate, and losing control of a process that only we fully understand. - Alan Greenspan

by Carrie (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Jun 10th, 2010 at 09:35:37 AM EST
[ Parent ]
In the absence of credit, yes.

By laying out pros and cons we risk inducing people to join the debate, and losing control of a process that only we fully understand. - Alan Greenspan
by Carrie (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Jun 10th, 2010 at 08:56:42 AM EST
[ Parent ]
That could be a problem. :)
by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Thu Jun 10th, 2010 at 08:57:32 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Why? Money is not conserved in the real economy either.

Let's see, if there is a cash flow on an edge, the amount is subtracted from the balance of the starting node, and added to the balance of the end node. The total of the balances doesn't change.

Instead of exchanging cash along an edge, an IOU at a discount may be exchanged. Say A has to pay B 100 but instead pays B with an IOU for 105 payable a year later, with "the market" agreeing that that IOU has a present value of 100. The balance sheets of A and B still change in ±100 now, so the total balance is still conserved.

But the total side of the whole network's asset (or liability) side has increased because this IOU didn't use to exist.

By laying out pros and cons we risk inducing people to join the debate, and losing control of a process that only we fully understand. - Alan Greenspan

by Carrie (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Jun 10th, 2010 at 09:12:50 AM EST
[ Parent ]
The balance sheets of A and B still change in ±100 now

Gah, ±100.

By laying out pros and cons we risk inducing people to join the debate, and losing control of a process that only we fully understand. - Alan Greenspan

by Carrie (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Jun 10th, 2010 at 09:37:23 AM EST
[ Parent ]

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