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I admire your tendency towards optimism, I wish I could share it.

The crash will be in slow motion, but the momentum will be sustained throughout impact. Just because the US or UK/PIGS cease to be able to afford oil, it doesn't mean their economies have the capacity to respond quickly, or at all. The infrastructure needed to sustain food and energy supplies and keep streetlights and televisions on is very reliant on a transport network that will rapidly (in terms of societal response) cease to function. There will be no gentle descent, it will be like hitting a concrete wall.

and china will keep on going, until its environmental legacy hits it hard. I appreciate that you say there are already movements to get it to clean up its act, but we're talking about trends that are  generation away form having any impact and the emergency in china is imminent; they are losing their farmland and water supply now. Today. A decade from now, china will be hell on earth and they simply don't have the time or the will to stop it happening.

keep to the Fen Causeway

by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Sun Aug 22nd, 2010 at 04:28:17 PM EST

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