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With the extra-government support of the Sweden Democrats they can form a Minority government.  They've got a major hole since Center Party is a pro-immigrant party and the SDs main attraction is being an anti-immigrant party; the Alliance needs both to govern.

How long will the SDs be willing to support a government they don't get anything out of and continues a policy it is their whole purpose to change?    

She believed in nothing; only her skepticism kept her from being an atheist. -- Jean-Paul Sartre

by ATinNM on Mon Sep 20th, 2010 at 11:56:57 AM EST
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My prediction is that the Center Party will be told to sit down and shut up in order to get the racists on board. And they'll probably comply.

They won't survive that in the polls, of course, but if they had any inclination to value partisan survival above the interests of their bloc, they wouldn't have let themselves become so firmly installed in the Moderates' back pocket. Being kingmakers is the raison d'etre for parties like the Center Party. Aligning, or being forced to align, with one bloc or the other ahead of time suffocates them in the same way trying to out-Thatcher the Tories suffocates a Social Democratic party.

- Jake

Friends come and go. Enemies accumulate.

by JakeS (JangoSierra 'at' gmail 'dot' com) on Mon Sep 20th, 2010 at 01:42:51 PM EST
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The Center party is not more pro-immigration than any of the other centre-right parties.

On Wednesday the final count will be completed. Until then we'll see posturing, but nothing else. Then the real bargaining will start. This might last about two weeks, until parliament opens.

Right now there are only two options: either the Greens join the Alliance in government, or the Alliance will go it alone and damn the torpedoes. They probably feel pretty comfortable with that, even if they won't be able to win all the sessions in parliament.

Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.

by Starvid on Mon Sep 20th, 2010 at 03:34:19 PM EST
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I'm sure the Moderate Party is happy to follow that strategy.

X-ref: JakeS' comment, above, I don't quite see why the Center or Liberal Parties have to go along if they can cut a better deal.  Either with the Social Democrats -- who are, after all, still the largest party -- or the Moderates since the Greens, Center, and Liberal parties, together, control the next government.  The last two may have wedded themselves so firmly, tactically or ideologically, to the Moderate controlled Alliance that they can't wiggle out, I don't know the answer to either question.  

The Center and Liberals have an "out" since they can always claim they are not going to be in a government that relies on the Swedish Democrats.  How far & well can that Play?  shrug Don't know.

In fact the entirety of my ignorance is stunning.

:-)

She believed in nothing; only her skepticism kept her from being an atheist. -- Jean-Paul Sartre

by ATinNM on Mon Sep 20th, 2010 at 06:53:18 PM EST
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I don't quite see why the Center or Liberal Parties have to go along if they can cut a better deal.
Partly because of bloc solidarity, partly because it would screw up the 2014 elections, partly because the leadership of both parties really dislike the Soc-dems, and partly because they would never cooperate with the former communist party, whom they consider to be about as nice as the Sweden Democrats.

Another thing to remember is that the Center party is the greatest opponent of the Greens joining the centre-right, as they would occupy basically the same niche. And as the Center party kinda lacks ideology, does its best to alienate its core voters and generally just is an organisation with $300 million fortune who wants to secure jobs for its leading party members... well.

Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.

by Starvid on Mon Sep 20th, 2010 at 07:02:27 PM EST
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