Welcome to European Tribune. It's gone a bit quiet around here these days, but it's still going.
Display:
Have you run the numbers, Thon?
Sounds like a long shot to me.

It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II
by eurogreen on Mon Sep 6th, 2010 at 12:14:49 PM EST
[ Parent ]
What numbers?

"Ce qui vient au monde pour ne rien troubler ne mérite ni égards ni patience." René Char
by Melanchthon on Mon Sep 6th, 2010 at 12:37:53 PM EST
[ Parent ]
or something, that allows you to simulate your alleged potential left-wing majority in the Senate?

I used to follow these things closely, and they have indeed changed favourably, but I had believed that the entrenched non-proportionality in the smaller, rural departments ruled out any actual change of majority.

It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II

by eurogreen on Mon Sep 6th, 2010 at 12:43:06 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The Senators are elected by the "grands électeurs", i.e. local elected representatives from municipalities (142 000 delegates from municipal councils), from departements) (4000 conseillers généraux), from the Regions (1870 conseillers régionaux) and by the members of parliament (577 députés)

The left won a lot of seats in the last élections municipales, cantonales (departements) and régionales, so there is a good possibility for the left to win a majority in the élections sénatoriales in 2011...

"Ce qui vient au monde pour ne rien troubler ne mérite ni égards ni patience." René Char

by Melanchthon on Mon Sep 6th, 2010 at 01:08:25 PM EST
[ Parent ]
AFP: Renforcée par les régionales, la gauche vise plus que jamais le Sénat
Lors du dernier renouvellement en 2008, le Parti socialiste a néanmoins gagné 23 sièges. L'UMP, reculant de 10 sièges, a perdu la majorité absolue et doit, depuis, composer avec ses alliés centristes (29 membres) et divers droite pour faire passer les textes du gouvernement.

En 2011, le scrutin concernera 44 départements (de la série commençant par la lettre I, plus l'outre-mer) dont bon nombre urbanisés comme Paris, plus favorables à la gauche.

"Il y a en outre un fort changement sociologique parmi les maires et conseiller municipaux des campagnes : les retraités de l'enseignement ou de la fonction publiques remplacent peu à peu les ruraux", souligne un responsable du Sénat.



"Ce qui vient au monde pour ne rien troubler ne mérite ni égards ni patience." René Char
by Melanchthon on Mon Sep 6th, 2010 at 01:44:21 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The gradual rise of the left towards a Senate majority is a generally recognized trend the right has been unable to obstruct.
by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Mon Sep 6th, 2010 at 02:46:29 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Oh, and, please, don't call me "Thon". In French slang, un thon (a tuna fish) is a rather unattractive person... Besides, it's an endangered species... ;-)

"Ce qui vient au monde pour ne rien troubler ne mérite ni égards ni patience." René Char
by Melanchthon on Mon Sep 6th, 2010 at 01:18:23 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Which is not the case of the maquereau.

(Strictly nothing to do with anyone present, obviously).

by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Mon Sep 6th, 2010 at 02:48:33 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Nor the case of a mere mackerel...

"Ce qui vient au monde pour ne rien troubler ne mérite ni égards ni patience." René Char
by Melanchthon on Mon Sep 6th, 2010 at 02:57:48 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Display:

Occasional Series