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but if I try to be objective : this was a "get out the vote" exercise. So how did they do?

Hollande : as "uniter of the socialists" he's doing OK on paper, because of his endless capacity to adopt other viewpoints. This has always worked well for him in interfactional wheeler-dealer, but in the cold light of day (or under the hot television lights) I don't think it plays very well :


  • The Montebourg voters may be pleasantly surprised by his relatively sudden embrace of a certain number of positions; more likely they are merely amused.

  • Centrist outreach : they may be alarmed to hear him embracing a bunch of leftist positions. On the other hand, they really ought to be reassured, as to his capacity to endlessly adapt and compromise : the essential centrist characteristic (or doctrine).


Aubry :
  • Has she motivated the non-PS Montebourg voters?
  • Has she reached out even further, to people who didn't vote in the first round?
Here I'm inclined to trust my own instincts, because I'm in the target audience. And it works for me. Yeah, I know who she is, I know what she's done, I have no illusions about her. And yet, she is the best there is on offer, by a wide margin, and has been since at least 2007 (she was wise not to run then, Sarkozy was unstoppable).

It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II
by eurogreen on Thu Oct 13th, 2011 at 06:11:56 AM EST
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