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IU (united left) is left of PSOE and will go form 2 to 8-10 seats in the parliament.

Equo is a new green left party - they could pick up 1 or 2 seats.

UPyD is a splinter party top-heavy with formerly-PSOE-allied intelligentsia. It will go from 1 seat to 4 or 5. It's questionable to what extent they are to the "left" of the PSOE. Their original rallying call was opposing Zapatero's compromising stance with the peripheral nationalists. The fact that under ZP's watch ETA ended their terrorist campaign, as kcurie says in the diary, no longer matters much to anyone. UPyD is austere, just like the PSOE and PP, because they want to be "serious".

No right-wing party will gain seats other than possible the Catalan ugly party.

To err is of course human. But to mess things up spectacularly, we need an elite — Yanis Varoufakis

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Sun Nov 20th, 2011 at 12:57:14 PM EST
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Equo is a new green left party - they could pick up 1 or 2 seats.

So there is no "old" green party? Why? Never been tried?

by IM on Sun Nov 20th, 2011 at 01:16:29 PM EST
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Never been other than splintered three ways.

They have been successful in Catalonia (Iniciativa per Catalunya - Verds) and Valencia.

The electoral system does not help. Spain has a proportional representation system but only just. It uses the d"hondt method with relatively small constituencies (average constituency size is 7, median is 5, a new party can only hope to get a seat in Madrid, Barcelona or Valencia which elect 34, 33 and 17 seats respectively give or take one seat).

To err is of course human. But to mess things up spectacularly, we need an elite — Yanis Varoufakis

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Sun Nov 20th, 2011 at 01:32:18 PM EST
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I see.   Good for big national parties and regional parties. Bad for small and middling national parties without a regional concentration.
So in this case they will hope to get one in Madrid - big constituency and Valencia - traditional stronghold and hope if everything goes well to get another one in Barcelona.

Seems to rather discourage to build up a organization in, say, Galicia.  

by IM on Sun Nov 20th, 2011 at 01:46:07 PM EST
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Galicia is big enough to have a regional party, the BNG. The real problem is that rural, and lowly populated, provinces have each two seats, and that means that only the two main parties have a stand in them. And they lean mostly to the right, so it is to be expected that they may give two diputados to the PP.

res humą m'és alič
by Antoni Jaume on Sun Nov 20th, 2011 at 02:03:37 PM EST
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Antoni

She believed in nothing; only her skepticism kept her from being an atheist. -- Jean-Paul Sartre
by ATinNM on Sun Nov 20th, 2011 at 02:08:37 PM EST
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In Spain there are like 5 or 6 green parties. The only one relevant enough was in a coalition in Catalonia with the left.

Outside catalonia, the ex-communist structures prevented any kind of union.

Now, a big green party has appeared... let's hope it gets some representation.

A pleasure

I therefore claim to show, not how men think in myths, but how myths operate in men's minds without their being aware of the fact. Levi-Strauss, Claude

by kcurie on Sun Nov 20th, 2011 at 01:33:42 PM EST
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Polls suggesting a seat for Equo in the new parliament make that a Valencia seat, not a Madrid seat. So the most visible party leadership fail to get in, and the Valencia seat is probably due to their alliance with the natinalist Compromis list.

To err is of course human. But to mess things up spectacularly, we need an elite — Yanis Varoufakis
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Sun Nov 20th, 2011 at 02:23:45 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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