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The country's debt agency said the shortfall in the sale reflected worsening market nerves on European debt markets but added it would sell back the retained amount to investors on secondary debt markets and that Germany would not face a funding bottleneck. The results compared with an average retention by the central bank of 17.83 percent at 10-year bond auctions in 2011. Data from IFR, a Thomson Reuters service, showed this to be the highest Bundesbank retention since at least July 1999.
The results compared with an average retention by the central bank of 17.83 percent at 10-year bond auctions in 2011. Data from IFR, a Thomson Reuters service, showed this to be the highest Bundesbank retention since at least July 1999.
Also, the Bundesbank (not the debt agency) routinely "retains" a fraction of all bond issues? Is that a semantic legerdemain to avoid saying it's "buying" them? To err is of course human. But to mess things up spectacularly, we need an elite — Yanis Varoufakis
http://www.handelsblatt.com/finanzen/boerse-maerkte/anleihen/anleger-boykottieren-deutsche-staatsanl eihen/5878094.html
(Not too sure how these markets work ...)
This makes no sense, especially when the BuBa lectures the federal government on the need to keep the amount of debt outstanding under control. To err is of course human. But to mess things up spectacularly, we need an elite — Yanis Varoufakis
It doesn't say what that means.
I think.
So 39% is not voluntary.
Yesterday, a bund auction flopped for the first time in living memory - as a result of which the entire eurozone no longer has a viable bond market. The flop was a major global event. It sent share price tumbling. Financial investors are now heavily betting on the break-up of the eurozone. Having held up well during most of the crisis, the euro declined to $1.33. Despite the 200bp jump in German yields, Italy's 10-year spreads rose back above 500bp, and Belgium's are now at 350bp.With every day of complacent and ignorant political announcement, especially from Berlin, the crisis deteriorates, and the cost of crisis resolution increases.
That's what I was asking before. Is Reuters conflating the Bundesbank with the Deutsche Finanzagentur? It makes sense that the Finanzagentur sells the bonds, not that the Bundesbank does. To err is of course human. But to mess things up spectacularly, we need an elite — Yanis Varoufakis
...the bid-to-cover ratio was only 0.65 times as the German debt agency sold just 3.644bn of its new 10-year Bund of the 6bn targeted. The Bundesbank retained a massive 2.356bn, which it will plan to sell over the coming days in the hope market sentiment improves. If the Bundesbank retention is included, the bid-to-cover ratio was a modest 1.1 times. Many market participants consider this an auction failure although some say technically it is not, as by retaining its own bonds the Bundesbank has pushed the bid-to-cover ratio above 1.0 times. The average yield for the 10-year bonds was 1.98 per cent.
...the bid-to-cover ratio was only 0.65 times as the German debt agency sold just 3.644bn of its new 10-year Bund of the 6bn targeted.
The Bundesbank retained a massive 2.356bn, which it will plan to sell over the coming days in the hope market sentiment improves. If the Bundesbank retention is included, the bid-to-cover ratio was a modest 1.1 times.
Many market participants consider this an auction failure although some say technically it is not, as by retaining its own bonds the Bundesbank has pushed the bid-to-cover ratio above 1.0 times.
The average yield for the 10-year bonds was 1.98 per cent.
So the debt agency sells but they are the Buba's "own bonds"?
Earlier today Germany tried to sell 6 billion of 10 Year bunds. It "sold" 3.644 at a 1.98% yield. Which meant the German debt agency had to retain, i.e., not sell, the 39% balance, or 2.356 billion.
The accounting legerdemain enters into it if this SPV has access to the ECB's rediscount or market maker facilities. If it does, the German government issues bonds to... the German government, which then goes to the ECB to trade them for cash.
If it doesn't, then it's just stupid journalists being stupid.
- Jake Friends come and go. Enemies accumulate.
It would be fun if all eurozone countries did it ...
I think the Budnesbank is here just acting as a broker on the secondary markets.
http://www.deutsche-finanzagentur.de/fileadmin/Material_Deutsche_Finanzagentur/PDF/Schuldenstand/Sch uldenstand_Quartal/2009-30-09.pdf
It doesn't matter it is from 2009, because is shows under IV. Bestand an Papieren im Besitz des Bundes
that the Federal Republic owns around 48 billion of federal debt instruments. That won't be different now and easily explains the retained three billion of this action.
so owner federal republic, broker bundesbank
That's not a broker to me. Who decides whether the bonds are sold? The Owner or the Broker? To err is of course human. But to mess things up spectacularly, we need an elite — Yanis Varoufakis
http://www.deutsche-finanzagentur.de/en/institutional/primary-market/auction-procedure/
"The German Federal Government usually places single issues by auction. Only members of the "Auction Group Bund Issues" can participate directly in these auctions (see the section entitled Auction Group Bund Issues). The auctions are carried out via the Deutsche Bundesbank Bund Bidding System (BBS). "
So the use the Bundesbank or rather its bidding system.
Regarding the secondary market, they say:
http://www.deutsche-finanzagentur.de/en/institutional/secondary-market/secondary-market-activities-f inance-agency/
"The level of how much own securities can be held is regulated in § 2 (5) of the Budget Law for credit authorizations. This dictates that currently, credit can be raised for financing purchases "within the framework of market support operations in the secondary market". The volume of credit should not exceed 5% of the nominal volume of the Federal bonds, five-year Federal notes, Federal Treasury notes and Treasury discount paper in circulation annually.
At each auction the German Federal Government can retain a portion of securities for secondary market operations which is then sold successively in the market afterwards. The volume of securities retained for market operations varies widely from auction to auction. Since 2005, the amount retained has averaged about 20% of the issuance volume (which also included money market paper and inflation-linked German Government securities)."
and:
"For its secondary market operations the Federal Government uses electronic trading platforms and the German stock exchanges. The agency's stock of bonds can be sold or purchased in the spot market within the framework of the German Federal Government's liquidity planning. The focus is on interbank trading and on supporting the activities of the market makers. This service provided by the issuer also enables members of the Auction Group to conduct transactions directly with the issuer as counterparty if necessary. The spot transactions are supplemented by repurchase agreements ("repos") and securities lending. The German Finance Agency executes its transactions with a minimum impact on the market and in line with market prices."
So contrary to my assumption, the Bundesbank, apart from the bidding system is not involved at all. That also means the speculation of Alphaville is without merit.
What's peculiar here is that the Finanzagentur retains a stock of bonds which then uses for secondary market purchases, but (if we are to believe them) not as a market maker and as a price-taker. The Finanzagentur could well engage in limited yield manipulations in the secondary market, which would basically mean the federal government would be meddling in monetary policy. Of course they would never dream of doing such a thing. What they do say is that there is a "Federal Government [own Bond liquidity] Management", which could be construed also as meddling in monetary policy. To err is of course human. But to mess things up spectacularly, we need an elite — Yanis Varoufakis
Purchases or sales. Obviously, the initially retained stock is intended for sales. To err is of course human. But to mess things up spectacularly, we need an elite — Yanis Varoufakis
"What's peculiar here is that the Finanzagentur retains a stock of bonds which then uses for secondary market purchases"
Is that peculiar? Or do all treasuries and debt agencies do this?
The Finanzagentur could well engage in limited yield manipulations in the secondary market, which would basically mean the federal government would be meddling in monetary policy.
That's probably what the "no more than 5 % of market volume" clause is there to prevent.
I wouldn't call a debt agency a special purpose vehicle. The use of a agency to handle the debt is quite common.
I called it an SPV because there's no good reason not to simply have the Treasury do it outright. Not because it's toxic (it's not).
That point, though, semms to be easy to prove aor disprove:
>That, alongside the fact that the Bundesbank is retaining an ever greater share of bonds from auction, suggests only one thing to the logical mind.>
My empirical mind would just look up if the "ever greater share of bonds from action" is actually true prior to this action.
http://www.deutsche-finanzagentur.de/fileadmin/Material_Deutsche_Finanzagentur/PDF/Aktuelle_Informat ionen/Auktionsergebnisse_E.pdf
The last auction of 10 year bunds was October 19th and 925 million out of 5,000 million was retained. The first auction in 2011 was January fifth and 1084 million out of 5 billion was retained. So apart from this last auction there was no movement in the retained share.
And here is an explanation of seconderay markets finance activity.
"The volume of securities retained for market operations varies widely from auction to auction. Since 2005, the amount retained has averaged about 20% of the issuance volume (which also included money market paper and inflation-linked German Government securities)."
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