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Clearly Cameron regards upsetting Liberal Democrats over Europe as less of a political risk than breaking with the anti-Euro Tories.

The worst the Lib Dems could do to Cameron would be to break up the coalition. Cameron and a united Conservative Party would be more likely than not to win an outright majority in the resulting general election. The Lib Dems would probably lose most of their existing seats.

The worst that the Tory right could do would be to break up the Conservative Party. A leader with a visibly split party and without many followers is unlikely to prosper in the post coalition election. That might be the only scenario which would give the Labour Party a real chance of a speedy return to power.

by Gary J on Sun Dec 11th, 2011 at 03:30:51 PM EST
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