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This is a chance for the United Nations to work properly, as a guarantor of sovereignty

I agree with your sentiments but I'm not sure whether the structures are in place to enable such a serendipitous transition. Certainly the UN has little track record as a guarantor of Sovereignty.  The Army, with US assistance, may be more than willing to seize the chance of greater power for itself.

Index of Frank's Diaries

by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Sat Feb 12th, 2011 at 06:16:54 AM EST
The Likud are likely to see any genuinely democratic Arab regime on their border as a threat to their existence. The vast majority of Egyptians, after all, are much more sympathetic to the situation of the Palestinians than to the security concerns of the Israeli state. While I do expect to see the new Egyptian government uphold the peace treaty with Israel, they may do so with much less enthusiasm and much less to the satisfaction of Israel.

"It is not necessary to have hope in order to persevere."
by ARGeezer (ARGeezer a in a circle eurotrib daught com) on Sat Feb 12th, 2011 at 11:20:58 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Regardless of sympathies, Egypt might say that blockading Gaza is not their job, or part of the Camp David peace treaty.

Then again, the US might tell the Egyptian military that their military aid is conditional on strangling the Palestinians.

Keynesianism is intellectually hard, as evidenced by the inability of many trained economists to get it - Paul Krugman

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Sat Feb 12th, 2011 at 11:28:40 AM EST
[ Parent ]
The League of Nations was supposed to guarantee the sovereignty of its member states.  The Nordic countries based their defense spending (very little) on that guarantee.

Ask 20th century historians of Denmark, Norway, and Finland how well that worked-out!

How well is the UN protecting the Gaza Strip?

Egypt has to have a strong military to prevent Israel from bombing Cairo whenever they feel like it.  

She believed in nothing; only her skepticism kept her from being an atheist. -- Jean-Paul Sartre

by ATinNM on Sat Feb 12th, 2011 at 01:35:18 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Israel isn't going to bomb Cairo, absent provocation. And if the border is opened, commerce might supplant anger.

Align culture with our nature. Ot else!
by ormondotvos (ormond.otvosnospamgmialcon) on Sat Feb 12th, 2011 at 04:48:25 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The Likud seems particularly adept at finding suitable provocations.

"It is not necessary to have hope in order to persevere."
by ARGeezer (ARGeezer a in a circle eurotrib daught com) on Sat Feb 12th, 2011 at 05:23:24 PM EST
[ Parent ]
You're harshing my buzz, man!

Align culture with our nature. Ot else!
by ormondotvos (ormond.otvosnospamgmialcon) on Fri Feb 18th, 2011 at 02:23:59 AM EST
[ Parent ]

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