there is only finite knowledge and understanding. In other words we are simply unaware of the mechanisms that lead to unexpected events.

When the finite nature of knowledge conceals a game changing event, then what you call the trigger mechanism probably doesn't matter much, in the new world that emerges.

And I do think that there are outliers that could really alter history. Imagine the results of practical fusion energy. It's not at all preposterous.

(Aside)What do you think of Paris as a survivable environment? Of cities in general? Email me?

Capitalism searches out the darkest corners of human potential, and mainlines them.