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How would a sovereign default hurt anyone but the ECB (and other holders of Irish sovereign debt)?
It wouldn't.
But there are a lot of holders of Irish sovereign debt that we want to hit.
- Jake Friends come and go. Enemies accumulate.
We are talking, if the BIS is to be believed, about a quit substantial sum there.
But of course, threatening to default on the ECB isn't a bad idea either. Might motivate them to stop behaving like a hedge fund and start behaving like a central bank. Or not. But then, that would solve the problem as well...
The ECB really need this issue to be settled by a democratic mandate from the people or it will fester on for years. The opposition parties will have a mandate for some sort of renegotiation and if the ECB is obdurate and agrees nothing - then we may just have a Government collapse and another General election and another year of instability.
Do these guys ever learn? Index of Frank's Diaries
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