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Michael Levi: Energy, Security, and Climate » Blog Archive » Beware Nuclear Policy Experts Talking About Japan

I have quick piece up at CFR.org assessing the potential policy consequences of the ongoing Japanese nuclear disaster. Short version: Take a look at political prognosticators' track record from the early days of the BP oil spill before you decide to believe anything that's being predicted right now.

I chose not to write about the nitty-gritty of the current technical situation for a simple reason: I don't really have anything to add to what the honest-to-goodness experts have to say. I know more than enough about the technical ins and outs of nuclear power to speak intelligently about related policy issues, but the situation at the reactors is complex and opaque. Even bona-fide nuclear engineering experts have severe limits to their ability to predict where things are going. A disturbingly large fraction of the people currently opining on television and radio, though, aren't even experts on nuclear technology. They are policy experts who apparently can't say no when people ask them to go on TV and talk about the technical ins and outs of the unfolding situation.

Any idiot can face a crisis - it's day to day living that wears you out.
by ceebs (ceebs (at) eurotrib (dot) com) on Mon Mar 14th, 2011 at 02:55:04 PM EST

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