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Question 1: How well connected is Gaddafi to other Arab leaders?

Question 2: The situation is also deteriorating in Yemen and Bahrain... What about a UN resolution for those?

Question 3: What will be the psychological fall-out on Ahmadinedshad as he's looking on?

Question 4: Is it to be taken seriously when Gaddafi threatens to take ElKaida for an ally?

One of the reasons Germany abstained is that they fear repercussions due to the intervention (eg terrorist attacks; - or more/an escalation of the conflict?).

by Lily (put - lilyalmond - here <a> yahaah.france) on Fri Mar 18th, 2011 at 06:56:54 AM EST
  1. Gaddaffi has flunked so hard with his attempts to create an Arabian super-nation, he never really has had a comeback from that. For example I understand that his relationship with Saudi Arabia is icy. But the most damning example I recall is the support that the Arab League gave last weekend to a no-fly zone above Lybia - against one of their own members!

  2. Despite deadly police action, in Yemen and Bahrain the leaders haven't begun bombarding their own citizens.

  3. I don't risk my neck to speculation any more...

  4. I didn't read that anywhere. Where did you see that? The past week he's been accusing the opposition movement of being in league with Al Qaeda, so it strikes me as odd he's now talking about becoming anally of Al Quaeda. But well, odd and Gaddaffi go hand in hand. My short answer: aAnything out of Gaddaffi's mouth is hard to be taken  serious.
by Nomad on Fri Mar 18th, 2011 at 09:59:52 AM EST
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As a sort-of answer to your first question, Juan Cole explains why Lebanon co-sponsored the resolution:
A note: The resolution was co-sponsored by the Lebanese government, in which the Shiite party Hizbullah (Hezbollah) is a leading element. In part, Lebanon was representing the Arab League, which in some ways was the major political force (along with Britain and France) pushing for world action. But in other ways something more personal was going on.

When I was working for a newspaper in Beirut in 1978, I translated wire service reports on the disappearance of the great Shiite leader Mousa al-Sadr while on a trip to Libya. He was likely murdered by Qaddafi and put in a grave somewhere there. I once attended a lecture by Sadr in Beirut. He was a great man, charismatic and a force for uplift in his community and for outreach to other communities. He probably went to Libya in an attempt to convince Qaddafi not to send any more weapons to the factions there (such arms shipments and factionalization contributed to the long Lebanese Civil War). Lebanese Shiites, including Hizbullah, still lionize Mousa al-Sadr and despise Qaddafi.

Payback is a bitch.


by Gag Halfrunt on Fri Mar 18th, 2011 at 01:28:35 PM EST
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