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Seems like the security policy types are waking up to resource scarcity.

I suspect that the ITPOES reports of 2008 and 2010 (among others) stirred some attention and made their way to the establishment via Chatham House and Dep of Energy & Climate Change.

Additional circumstantial evidence: the US Joint Chief's of Staff warning in the JOE2010 report, the Bundeswehr report last year though the German government has its head firmly stuck in the sand. It seems that awareness about problems ahead always needs to come from the public first until governments can't deny it any longer. They are usually the last to admit realities.

We will see more shops like EUCERS spring up with a range of narratives and opinions about what to do. A number of them will go for the 'unconventional business as usual' model. Their recommendation will be to exert ever more effort to tread water.

Ugo Bardi has this wonderful new piece at The Oil Drum that shows how -for a while- activity increases even after resource peaks have passed. The people that always make a real killing in 'desperate gold rushes' are the equipment and service guys because so much more elaborate investments have to be made to keep supply seemingly at the same level.


Schengen is toast!

by epochepoque on Thu May 26th, 2011 at 05:56:48 PM EST
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