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Though the view of Indian Point
in Buchanan, New York just south of Peekskill
A full hydrological simulation would be a whole other thing. You'd need a full set of USGS data and some fancy modelling tools.
But Irene is currently weakening, and seems unlikely to pick up power again. So it's looking like the damage may not be as bad as everyone hoped for expected.
I have no idea if this means NYC dodged a nuclear bullet. So I'll just mention again that whatever happens is going to be clear proof that windmills are a DFH conspiracy to raise your taxes.
Oh - and if Irene doesn't push the water over the walls, it's almost certain some other event will by the end of the century.
FEMA publishes flood maps for the entire country; here's the one for that area.http://map1.msc.fema.gov/idms/IntraView.cgi?ROT=0&O_X=7044&O_Y=3622&O_ZM=0.077294&O_
It's a viewer and might not work right especially over a slow link. Basically it shows the "100 year" flood zone, more properly called the 1% annual recurrence probability event zone. The flood zone doesn't impinge on the nukes.
These maps are made using field data collected over the years by on-site measurements, then calculated using the HEC-HMS and associated hydrological simulation programs.
Normally, flooding is caused by rainwater draining from higher elevations, and while the modeling tools can accommodate the effect of blockages that cause reductions in downstream flow, I don't know if they actually account for upstream flow from a storm surge.
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