Welcome to European Tribune. It's gone a bit quiet around here these days, but it's still going.
"You are under attack when your risk-free secondary market spread against the lowest rate in the currency zone is statistically distinguishable from zero."

In other words, everybody is attacked.

"In a unified currency zone, all subunits should be operating under the same risk-free rate."
Why? What about default risk?

"In which fictional alternative universe?

 Try averaging over the last three business cycles and get back to me."

You really seem to think germanys economic history started in 2002. It hasn't. And prior to that the CA tended to be balanced.

"I never claimed that Ireland was a currency crisis, and you should fucking well know that by now if you are arguing in anything that remotely resembles good faith."
You can't handle dissent well. You claimed a perfect prediction record for your hypothesis, I pointed out that Ireland doesn't fit your hypothesis and you then grudgingly admitted that. Where exactly is the bad faith? You just omitted Ireland in your first comments.

by IM on Thu Sep 8th, 2011 at 08:19:41 AM EST
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