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I think multiple technologies may survive in different niches, e.g. I don't see CPV playing much of a role in the building-integrated market and I don't see the latter collapsing even if CPV becomes decisively the most cost-competitive on the open field segment.
Then again, Solar Millennium said just back in June that they want to build combined PV-CSP plants, with CSP on flat ground and PV on hillsides within the area of permit.
What really matters, though, is the cost per kWh produced, and here things are a little better for CPV - it can operate at capacity factors of up to 26 percent, compared with 20 percent for CdTe.
But the capacity factor is not the only factor making the difference in cost per kWh. Compared to the common fixed flat panels, CPV also requires a tracking mechanism and usually cooling, both of which result in extra maintenance costs. *Lunatic*, n. One whose delusions are out of fashion.
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