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The importance was a novel solution in a critical stalemate situation. By  declaring martial law, Jaruzelski was perceived- and perceived himself- as dampening a potentially dangerous situation. His actions saved face in Moscow, Washington, Bruxelles and the Danzig docks.This wrench-in-the-works strategy postponed negotiations to a more amenable setting.

Ah, I get it. The trouble is, declaring martial law is something for the powers-that-be, and in Hungary today that's Fidesz.

If we want to discuss the (emphatically hypothetical) military angles, I think the spectre of Yugoslavia you mention warrants more words. Except for the short bigger campaigns by the JNA after Croatia's independence and by Croatia when it reconquered (and cleansed) the Krajinas, AFAIK most of the conflicts were fought with small arms, and often with irregular forces, especially at the start. So in the worst case I can imagine, things would start to go downhill when governments both sides of the border would escalate diplomatic conflicts and fail to hold back extremists on their side, and armed conflict would emerge after the launch of 'self-defense' paramilitaries among ethnic Hungarians in Slovakia and Romania, upon inspiration from Hungary. This may seem pretty far-fetched at present, though it must be noted that a re-run of Bosnia in Transsylvania was a proclaimed fear of Romanian politicians in the nineties.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Wed Jan 4th, 2012 at 09:12:10 AM EST
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