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Here's a tracking poll from an apparently independent website. Both Holland and Sarkozy on a gentle decline, Le Pen very erratic. The ingredients are there for an exciting race. luis_de_sousa@mastodon.social
The big question in these elections is Le Pen, if she can topple Sarkozy in the first round it would be something. luis_de_sousa@mastodon.social
He is definitely of center-right persuasion (the "center" has been part of the right for most of the past 40 years) but he broke away from Chirac and then Sarkozy more credibly than previous centrists, voting against them in parliament a number of times on high profile votes. The result has been that he's lost most of his MP group - as they know that locally they will be elected by allying with the traditional right. Sarkozy has tried to nurture competing "centrist" candidates, who have funding and a parliamentary group - that's the Hervé Morin situation (but he's not well known and polls 0-1%) Wind power
Bayrou is a 'nicer' vote. Wind power
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