Welcome to European Tribune. It's gone a bit quiet around here these days, but it's still going.
There is a great deal of uncertainty in this election, as with all Presidential elections in France, which is refreshing as it shows that people still have the option to consider multiple candidates.

Between Sarkozy's low numbers, Le Pen's style, Bayrou's carry-over from 2007 and the presence of Villepin it does seem very possible that Sarkozy could actually fall out of the runoff.   Such a result would be a sound rejection of a sitting President of the kind never seen before.

Ultimately this appears to be Hollande's election to lose.

Also, is there much discussion of the "Sixth Republic" these days?  

by paving on Wed Jan 4th, 2012 at 01:31:20 AM EST
Short answer, no. Arnaud Montebourg, the promoter of the 6th Republic concept, was beaten in the socialist primary and remains in a fairly restricted role while hoping for a ministerial (even prime ministerial) position. So no 6th Republic talk.

Hollande as president, however, would probably take a contrary direction to the monarchic concentration of power at the Elysée which has been accentuated by Sarkozy. It wouldn't be the 6th Republic, but it would be an improvement on an extension of the reign of King Sarko.

by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Wed Jan 4th, 2012 at 04:55:21 AM EST
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