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Given that the UMP and the Socialists are more apart than what you usually have in European democracies this is not surprising. But in the end he'll always have a neutral effect, taking votes from each site.

The big question in these elections is Le Pen, if she can topple Sarkozy in the first round it would be something.


by Luis de Sousa (luis[dot]de[dot]sousa[at]protonmail[dot]ch) on Thu Jan 5th, 2012 at 07:30:52 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I think there are two major things at stake in the first round
  1. who gets on the second round from the right, because it's by no means a given that Sarkozy will be there
  2. what's the balance of power on the left between Hollande, Joly, Mélenchon and, to some extent, Bayrou. A Hollande who must deal with a 15% Bayrou will not be the same than a Hollande having to deal with a 5% Bayrou.

Wind power
by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Thu Jan 5th, 2012 at 08:43:58 AM EST
[ Parent ]


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