Welcome to European Tribune. It's gone a bit quiet around here these days, but it's still going.
I think there are two major things at stake in the first round
  1. who gets on the second round from the right, because it's by no means a given that Sarkozy will be there
  2. what's the balance of power on the left between Hollande, Joly, Mélenchon and, to some extent, Bayrou. A Hollande who must deal with a 15% Bayrou will not be the same than a Hollande having to deal with a 5% Bayrou.

Wind power
by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Thu Jan 5th, 2012 at 08:43:58 AM EST
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