There is a great deal of uncertainty in this election, as with all Presidential elections in France, which is refreshing as it shows that people still have the option to consider multiple candidates.

Between Sarkozy's low numbers, Le Pen's style, Bayrou's carry-over from 2007 and the presence of Villepin it does seem very possible that Sarkozy could actually fall out of the runoff.   Such a result would be a sound rejection of a sitting President of the kind never seen before.

Ultimately this appears to be Hollande's election to lose.

Also, is there much discussion of the "Sixth Republic" these days?