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There's a huge assumption in there that there's no such thing as common-mode (aka common-cause) failure for nukes - only for wind.

Of course, we've had Fukushima; and we've had multiple hot summers where many French plants have been closed due to overheating rivers; and we've had systematic pressurizer cracks in PWRs; and we'll face systematic terrorist threats against nuclear plants. Then there's the risks of depending on a generation technology where all your fuel is imported. And so on ...

So we know common-mode failure can and does occur for nukes. The model pretends it doesn't. That's more convenient for the message it's trying to sell.

by LondonAnalytics (Andrew Smith) on Sat Oct 13th, 2012 at 11:32:44 AM EST
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