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The electricity demand from commercial operations is fairly unpredictable on this time scale because it depends rather a lot on how power hungry the various gadgets that get adapted in this time span are.
Sure, all the existing tech will use less power just through better engineering, but assuming this means homes and businesses will use less juice overall is dicey. This is a long enough period of time that the odds of entirely new toys and tools seeing wide adoption approaches unity.

Not entirely sure it matters, since once I pick the options to electrify industry, transport and heating, the variations between the various options on this point approach noise in the system anyway.

by Thomas on Tue Oct 16th, 2012 at 01:37:05 PM EST
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