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The numbers cited by that webpage aren't sourced to some official statistics but to the magazine of The General Council of the Assemblies of God,
According to enrichment journal on the divorce rate in America: The divorce rate in America for first marriage is 41% The divorce rate in America for second marriage is 60% The divorce rate in America for third marriage is 73%
According to enrichment journal on the divorce rate in America:
They certainly don't make "enrichment journal" stand out, and they don't offer a link to it (only to other sites run by the same set-up).
If you Google "enrichment journal" you will find (here) that it is a publication of the Assemblies of God, a Christian Fundamentalist Pentecostal movement.
But at least you could try to avoid backing your ideas up using religious propaganda sites.
http://www.theage.com.au/opinion/society-and-culture/shacking-up-for-the-future-20100721-10khn.html
https:/www.cis.org.au/media-information/opinion-pieces/article/56-rarely-a-case-of-happy-ever-after https:/www.cis.org.au/media-information/opinion-pieces/article/56-rarely-a-case-of-happy-ever-after
https:
We know from surveys (in the absence of official statistics) that de facto relationships break up much more frequently than formal marriages. But because these break-ups are not officially registered as divorces, the rate of break-up of the `socially married' is not represented in the ABS figures. If they were, the rate of separation of the socially married would be higher than the formal divorce statistics.
You may agree with that point of view, but other people have theirs.
But to what extent they are "based on reality" is at question. For example, the quote you posted from the second piece sounds very "science-based" but isn't really if you look at it. There are no references to the "surveys" or to who carried them out. And there's no explanation of what definitions of "de facto" relationships are being used.
In fact there's a whole range of types of relationship where unmarried couples live together, from casual to confirmed to preparation for marriage to pre-marriage with children to long-term commitment without marriage. Attempting to compare break-ups across such a wide range of relationships with marital break-ups is unlikely to give dependable results.
But if we limit our interest to couples with children, the Swedish study I previously linked gives about the same rate of sticking together ten years afer birth of first common child those that married first and then lived together and those that first had a de-facto relationship - 70%. Highest sticking together rate was found among those that first lived together, then got a child and then got married - 88%, narrowly beating those that first lived together, then married and then got a child - 83%. This indicates that those that do marry in a social context where de-facto relationships are acceptable are among those with stabler relationships in the first place. So it is not the marriage that increases the sticking together rate, but the sticking together likelihood that determines marriages. Sweden's finest (and perhaps only) collaborative, leftist e-newspaper Synapze.se
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