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Unless something big happens this year it doesn't look to me as if any electoral force will emerge from Milla/Solidaritas - which means the lineup in 2014 will be MSZP/DK, a separate LMP which is increasingly looking up for coalition with Fidesz, and a smattering of small, barely organised leftist parties unable to get beyond the 5%.
In summary, any failure to organise this year will bring MSZP back from the dead, and people opposed to the government will have little choice but to put on a noseclip. And this looks to me like an increasingly likely scenario, despite the MSZP still acting stupidly (eg their call to "bring back MALEV") and failing to consider the reasons for their failure in office.
A bunch of hapless idiots (to borrow from Bayer)...
I just don't know. I haven't seen a poll, I didn't hear people on the train talking about this, I haven't seen a single anti-EU graffiti (compare to the "D-209" and "Elkúrtad!" graffiti waves against former Socialists PMs Medgyessy resp. Gyurcsány) and people I know aren't a representative sample. If a majority feels the EU is picking on Hungary, then I think a wide majority of those is watching it with fatalism.
any electoral force will emerge from Milla/Solidaritas
We'll see what will become of 4K!, once they turn a party officially (always the pessimist, I won't hold my breath though).
will bring MSZP back from the dead
I don't think it was ever completely dead, or will become. They are well footed in a wide grassroots base, who won't go away even if what is left is a bunch of stupid and/or corrupt people. The best scenario would be to reduce MSzP to a dwarf like the unreconstituted commies (Munkáspárt). But, the likeliest scenario is what you write, a return of an MSzP who haven't learnt anything and haven't faced up to past mistakes. *Lunatic*, n. One whose delusions are out of fashion.
The opportunity for DK is bigger than I initially thought it would be, if they manage two things: a) provide a lead candidate other than Gyurcsany to deflect the light b) think about positive reforms people would actually vote for (eg in relation to education, freedom of information, housing). The first of these currently seems less likely.
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