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Gysi on the EU "rescue package" for Greece | 55 comments (54 topical, 1 editorial, 0 hidden)
Re: Opposition? (none / 0)
Why did the Greens overtake the Left Party again? Did they pick up FDP voters, is there a heightened environmental awareness, or what?

There are three stories about the euro crisis: the Republican story, the German story, and the truth. -- Paul Krugman
by Carrie (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Feb 29th, 2012 at 10:16:47 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Re: Opposition? (4.00 / 2)
I think they also got a lot of mileage out of the S-21 protests.
by generic on Wed Feb 29th, 2012 at 10:28:37 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Re: Opposition? (none / 0)
I'm less in touch with Germany than others here, but I have heard anecdotally about some younger FDP types shifting towards the Greens.
by Metatone (metatone [a|t] gmail (dot) com) on Wed Feb 29th, 2012 at 11:31:03 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Re: Opposition? (4.00 / 3)
It wasn't a single trend, nor a monotonic one.
  • Right after the 2009 elections, the SPD was shedding voters, the Left Party was overtaken by then.
  • The FDP meltdown started at the end of 2009.
  • Stuttgart 21 protests boosted the Greens above 20% in autumn 2010, but that melted away again.
  • Fukushima put them closer to 25%.
  • Several problems peaking in the debacle in the Berlin elections (commonly explained with supporters being scared away by allusions to a CDU-Greens coalition option) cut support back to the 15% region. After Berlin, the Pirates exploded federally, taking from the Greens and the Left Party.

Also note that there are simultaneous movements, e.g. a decrease in FDP and increase for the Pirates could mask a combination of FDP -> CDU -> SPD -> Greens -> Left Party -> Pirates movements.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Wed Feb 29th, 2012 at 12:29:34 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Re: Opposition? (4.00 / 3)
DoDo:

Also note that there are simultaneous movements, e.g. a decrease in FDP and increase for the Pirates could mask a combination of FDP -> CDU -> SPD -> Greens -> Left Party -> Pirates movements.

Remembering the Berlin exit polls, FDP voters moved primarily to CDU and to not-voting, while the Pirates picked up a lot form did-not-vote-in-last-election.

With about 80% voting you have a pool of 20% non-voters that contains longer movements to and from parties.

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by A swedish kind of death on Wed Feb 29th, 2012 at 03:27:28 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Gysi on the EU "rescue package" for Greece | 55 comments (54 topical, 1 editorial, 0 hidden)
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