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Also note that there are simultaneous movements, e.g. a decrease in FDP and increase for the Pirates could mask a combination of FDP -> CDU -> SPD -> Greens -> Left Party -> Pirates movements.

Remembering the Berlin exit polls, FDP voters moved primarily to CDU and to not-voting, while the Pirates picked up a lot form did-not-vote-in-last-election.

With about 80% voting you have a pool of 20% non-voters that contains longer movements to and from parties.

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by A swedish kind of death on Wed Feb 29th, 2012 at 03:27:28 PM EST
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