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Frankfurter Allgemeine has the scoop of the day. It has obtained a letter by Jens Weidmann to Mario Draghi, warning about Germany's Target 2 claims, and proposing a return to the collateral rules before the crisis. This is a hugely significantly development, considering also that the Bundesbank has until recently denied the significance of Germany's 500bn Target 2 imbalances. In his letter, Weidmann proposes a securitisation of the ECB's claims against the weaker central banks in the eurosystem, which have reached a level of 800bn. The paper says the proposals are bound to trigger a big controversy inside the ECB, and reflects growing concern inside the Bundesbank, whose own Target 2 claims of 500bn are the single largest item of the total. Weidmann said if these claims were to fall foul, it is possible that the member states may not be able to pay for those losses. Weidmann is particularly critical about the relaxation of the collateral rules, especially the rule that national central banks can now accept corporate credits as collateral. He demands a return to a standard collateral system. He insists on a review to determine to which extent the risk position of the ECB could be improved through a change of collateral policies. FAZ says Weidmann's criticism might mute positive market reaction t the second LTRO, in which banks acquired 530bn in new liquidity, after 489bn in December. The paper says that Weidmann had not insisted on a time scale for a return to normal collateral policies. In a recent interview with FAZ, Draghi said that the ECB had done, and could not do more even if the situation of the banking sector deteriorated again. ... Hans-Werner Sinn explain how to fix Target 2 imbalances Hans Werner Sinn, the man who raised the Target 2 debate, writes in Frankfurter Allgemeine about how to fix the Target 2 imbalances. He said Europe's south-west is now financing its persistent current account deficits through the money presses, as central banks now provide unlimited liquidity to the banking sector. That money, thus created, flows to Germany, where ends up at the Bundesbank as a claim against the eurosystem. He compares the Target 2 balances to equivalent balances in the US, which are much lower, which he says is due to different rules under which the system there operates. He proposes to create covered bonds - securities on property and other assets - created by the eurosystem to redeem the Target 2 imbalances. (Note that this proposal appears to have been taken up by Weidmann in his demand to securities the balances.)
Weidmann is particularly critical about the relaxation of the collateral rules, especially the rule that national central banks can now accept corporate credits as collateral. He demands a return to a standard collateral system. He insists on a review to determine to which extent the risk position of the ECB could be improved through a change of collateral policies. FAZ says Weidmann's criticism might mute positive market reaction t the second LTRO, in which banks acquired 530bn in new liquidity, after 489bn in December. The paper says that Weidmann had not insisted on a time scale for a return to normal collateral policies. In a recent interview with FAZ, Draghi said that the ECB had done, and could not do more even if the situation of the banking sector deteriorated again.
...
Hans-Werner Sinn explain how to fix Target 2 imbalances
Hans Werner Sinn, the man who raised the Target 2 debate, writes in Frankfurter Allgemeine about how to fix the Target 2 imbalances. He said Europe's south-west is now financing its persistent current account deficits through the money presses, as central banks now provide unlimited liquidity to the banking sector. That money, thus created, flows to Germany, where ends up at the Bundesbank as a claim against the eurosystem. He compares the Target 2 balances to equivalent balances in the US, which are much lower, which he says is due to different rules under which the system there operates. He proposes to create covered bonds - securities on property and other assets - created by the eurosystem to redeem the Target 2 imbalances.
(Note that this proposal appears to have been taken up by Weidmann in his demand to securities the balances.)
Vom Regen in die Traufe Die Frage ist freilich, wie man das amerikanische System auf Europa übertragen könnte. Sicherlich wäre es keine Lösung, den Defizitländern die Tilgung mit normalen Staatspapieren aus eigener Herstellung zu erlauben. Dann käme man, wie Jörg Krämer von der Commerzbank richtig feststellt, vom Regen in die Traufe. Die European Economic Advisory Group at CESifo - acht Ökonomen aus sieben Ländern - hat in ihrem elften Jahresbericht, der jetzt veröffentlicht wird, vorgeschlagen, in der Eurozone ein System von kurzfristigen staatlichen Pfandbriefen (Euro Standard Bills) zu schaffen, die nach einheitlichen Kriterien vom jeweiligen Nationalstaat mit Immobilien oder vorrangigen Ansprüchen auf zukünftige Steuereinnahmen besichert sind. Diese Pfandbriefe können nach Meinung des Rates zur jährlichen Tilgung der Target-Salden verwendet werden. Eine einfache Minimallösung, die ebenfalls Wirkung entfalten könnte, hat der frühere Bundesbankpräsident Helmut Schlesinger vorgeschlagen. Er will die Target-Salden mit progressiv gestaffelten Strafzinsen belasten, die dann von den Defizitländern an die Überschussländer abgetreten werden. Auf jeden Fall braucht die Eurozone ein System von Stoßdämpfern, welche die extremen Ausschläge bei den Target-Krediten abfedern. Der Überziehungskredit beim privaten Girokonto ist auch nicht beliebig zu haben.
Die Frage ist freilich, wie man das amerikanische System auf Europa übertragen könnte. Sicherlich wäre es keine Lösung, den Defizitländern die Tilgung mit normalen Staatspapieren aus eigener Herstellung zu erlauben. Dann käme man, wie Jörg Krämer von der Commerzbank richtig feststellt, vom Regen in die Traufe.
Die European Economic Advisory Group at CESifo - acht Ökonomen aus sieben Ländern - hat in ihrem elften Jahresbericht, der jetzt veröffentlicht wird, vorgeschlagen, in der Eurozone ein System von kurzfristigen staatlichen Pfandbriefen (Euro Standard Bills) zu schaffen, die nach einheitlichen Kriterien vom jeweiligen Nationalstaat mit Immobilien oder vorrangigen Ansprüchen auf zukünftige Steuereinnahmen besichert sind. Diese Pfandbriefe können nach Meinung des Rates zur jährlichen Tilgung der Target-Salden verwendet werden.
Eine einfache Minimallösung, die ebenfalls Wirkung entfalten könnte, hat der frühere Bundesbankpräsident Helmut Schlesinger vorgeschlagen. Er will die Target-Salden mit progressiv gestaffelten Strafzinsen belasten, die dann von den Defizitländern an die Überschussländer abgetreten werden. Auf jeden Fall braucht die Eurozone ein System von Stoßdämpfern, welche die extremen Ausschläge bei den Target-Krediten abfedern. Der Überziehungskredit beim privaten Girokonto ist auch nicht beliebig zu haben.
From the pan to the fire But the question is how to transfer the American system in Europe. Certainly it would be no solution to allow the deficit countries to repay the debts with the issue of normal government securities. Then one would , as Jörg Krämer of Commerzbank notes correctly, be jumping from the pan to the fire. The European Economic Advisory Group at CESifo - eight economists from seven countries - in its eleventh annual report, which is now published, proposed to create in the Euro zone, a system of short-term government mortgage bonds (Euro Standard Bills), which would be secured with real estate or priority claims on future tax revenues according to standard criteria by each nation state. These mortgage bonds can be used in the opinion of the Council for the annual amortization of the target balances. A simple minimal solution, which could also be effective, has been proposed by the former Bundesbank President Helmut Schlesinger. He wants to load the target balances with progressively tiered penalty interest, which would then transferred from the deficit countries to surplus countries. In any case, the euro zone needs a system of shock absorbers to cushion the extreme swings in which the target credit. The overdraft facility at the private bank account does not have any.
But the question is how to transfer the American system in Europe. Certainly it would be no solution to allow the deficit countries to repay the debts with the issue of normal government securities. Then one would , as Jörg Krämer of Commerzbank notes correctly, be jumping from the pan to the fire.
The European Economic Advisory Group at CESifo - eight economists from seven countries - in its eleventh annual report, which is now published, proposed to create in the Euro zone, a system of short-term government mortgage bonds (Euro Standard Bills), which would be secured with real estate or priority claims on future tax revenues according to standard criteria by each nation state. These mortgage bonds can be used in the opinion of the Council for the annual amortization of the target balances.
A simple minimal solution, which could also be effective, has been proposed by the former Bundesbank President Helmut Schlesinger. He wants to load the target balances with progressively tiered penalty interest, which would then transferred from the deficit countries to surplus countries. In any case, the euro zone needs a system of shock absorbers to cushion the extreme swings in which the target credit. The overdraft facility at the private bank account does not have any.
Spain would not, by treaties, be allowed to fight her current account deficits. But she must make sure that they will bleed her dry. Earth provides enough to satisfy every man's need, but not every man's greed. Gandhi
The fates of sovereign and the banking systems in many Eurozone member countries, and in the Eurozone as a whole, are strongly intertwined, as first the financial crisis and soon after the Eurozone sovereign debt crisis has shown. Despite - or due to - the abundance of problems within the Eurozone, it is important to be careful in presenting and interpreting the facts in an objective way. In that respect, it is important to highlight that TARGET2 imbalances: Cannot be automatically linked to current-account deficits in those countries; Do not automatically reduce central bank credit to commercial banks in other member states (and any reduction of central bank credit should not be interpreted negatively, as implying reduced funding for banks and their customers); and Should not be interpreted as a measure of the risk exposures of the national central banks of TARGET2 creditor countries. This does not mean that the increase in TARGET2 imbalances cannot be suggestive of serious problems. * These imbalances may be - and currently likely are - a symptom of the difficulty of banking systems in a number of Eurozone periphery countries have in funding themselves in the markets without public support. They should therefore primarily be understood as a call to action for policymakers to put the banking systems in the Eurozone periphery and core on a sound footing - a goal that continues to elude them even after almost four years since the onset of the financial crisis.
* These imbalances may be - and currently likely are - a symptom of the difficulty of banking systems in a number of Eurozone periphery countries have in funding themselves in the markets without public support.
They should therefore primarily be understood as a call to action for policymakers to put the banking systems in the Eurozone periphery and core on a sound footing - a goal that continues to elude them even after almost four years since the onset of the financial crisis.
ECB bond purchases are morally transformed from evil to good, if cleansed by private sector involvement.
And so in this case, the extra layer of state claims is good, because it allows investors to recoup their losses from the Spanish government?
(Or as it is called elsewhere, collective punishment...)
Bullseye! Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.
as early as 11 February 2010 our commentary on the crisis homed in on the fact thatWhat the ECB cannot do is fund a public debt issue, and that makes some sense from certain ideological perspectives.<bblockquote>Because by having passed through the bid-ask spread of a major investment bank, it is suddenly converted from a loan into a monetary instrument?The last [many] months have been an exercise in teasing out the conequences of that ideological perspective.
What the ECB cannot do is fund a public debt issue, and that makes some sense from certain ideological perspectives.<bblockquote>Because by having passed through the bid-ask spread of a major investment bank, it is suddenly converted from a loan into a monetary instrument?
priority claims on future tax revenues
This is probably the least ominous reason for the rush to approve this. In fact, most of the provisions of the new Constitutional amendment and impending Organic Law won't take effect immediately. The spending ceiling only becomes binding after 2020 (however, to bring a 9% deficit to 0.40% in 9 years does require reducing it by 1% per year in the middle of a recession, which will require biting austerity with immediate effect). There's only one provision of the proposed New Article 135 (in Spanish) which will have immediate effect:Los créditos para satisfacer los intereses y el capital de la deuda pública de las Administraciones se entenderán siempre incluidos en el estado de gastos de sus presupuestos y su pago gozará de prioridad absoluta. Estos créditos no podrán ser objeto de enmienda o modificación, mientras se ajusten a las condiciones de la Ley de emisión.Credits to service interest and principal on the public debt of the various Administrations will be understood to be part of the expense account of their budgets, and their payment will have absolute priority. These credits won't be subject to amendment or modification, as long as they keep to the conditions of the law by which they were issued.The emphasised text is what's being added by the amendment.
Los créditos para satisfacer los intereses y el capital de la deuda pública de las Administraciones se entenderán siempre incluidos en el estado de gastos de sus presupuestos y su pago gozará de prioridad absoluta. Estos créditos no podrán ser objeto de enmienda o modificación, mientras se ajusten a las condiciones de la Ley de emisión.
Credits to service interest and principal on the public debt of the various Administrations will be understood to be part of the expense account of their budgets, and their payment will have absolute priority. These credits won't be subject to amendment or modification, as long as they keep to the conditions of the law by which they were issued.
Eurobonds, surely, must be created to fund productive investment in southern Europe. It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II
Mark Schieritz Writing in Herdentrieb, Mark Schieritz applauds Mario Draghi's Big Bertha as a masterpiece. He calls it one of the cleverest moves in central banking history. Draghi managed to establish the ECB as a lender of last resort in a way that satisfies its legal and also the political constraints, especially in Germany. The ECB cannot allocate credits directly - which is the intrinsic job of a banking sector in a free market. The liquidity operations are so big, that the ECB has now replaced the Fed as the world's largest money printing machine. The eurosystem's balance sheet is now close to 2750bn, whereas the Fed's is about half a billion smaller. And there are no indications that the extra money will create inflation.
Writing in Herdentrieb, Mark Schieritz applauds Mario Draghi's Big Bertha as a masterpiece. He calls it one of the cleverest moves in central banking history. Draghi managed to establish the ECB as a lender of last resort in a way that satisfies its legal and also the political constraints, especially in Germany. The ECB cannot allocate credits directly - which is the intrinsic job of a banking sector in a free market. The liquidity operations are so big, that the ECB has now replaced the Fed as the world's largest money printing machine. The eurosystem's balance sheet is now close to 2750bn, whereas the Fed's is about half a billion smaller. And there are no indications that the extra money will create inflation.
But also,
Weidmann is particularly critical about the relaxation of the collateral rules, especially the rule that national central banks can now accept corporate credits as collateral. He demands a return to a standard collateral system.
Eurointelligence Daily Briefing: Weidmann ascends to the throneNew Bundesbank president Jens Weidman was official enthroned yesterday; indicates his main focus would be to watch over, and comment on, German government's fiscal policy; says price stability must take precedence over financial stabilityOh, dear. And this a day after we're told "Merkel's quid-pro-quo on Draghi" (being the next President of the ECB) is to put a German in charge of the European Financial Stability Board.
New Bundesbank president Jens Weidman was official enthroned yesterday; indicates his main focus would be to watch over, and comment on, German government's fiscal policy; says price stability must take precedence over financial stability
"price stability must take precedence over financial stability"
If you use price stability as a hammer, you can achieve financial stability as well! A corpse is, after all, perfectly stable. Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.
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