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Eurointelligence Daily Briefing: High noon, postponed
Talks to finalise the terms of the next Greek austerity programme have been postponed until today; Kathimerini has the outlines of a deal of €2.5bn: €1.1bn in health care cuts and further cuts in public investments; €850m are still to be agreed; minimum wage is cut by 20-20%, and labour regulation is relaxed; 15,000 administrative workers will lose their jobs;as part of a plan to reduce state employment by 150,000; Germany and France also propose the creation of an escrow account, earmarked for bond repayments, so that they can withhold future funds from Greece without triggering a default; Paul Krugman says the required Greek adjustment is too extreme, and cannot conceivably work; Angela Merkel and Nicolas Sarkozy criticise Francois Hollande's threat not to respect the fiscal treaty; Arnaud Leparmentier says Sarkozy wrongly pretends that he is leading Europe, while Merkel wrongly pretends the opposite; Bild explains to its readers why Sarkozy admires Merkel so much; Germany's SPD decided to campaign in favour of Hollande;the French current account deficit reaches 3.6% in 2011; the SPD is going to run the 2013 election campaign with an anti-finance agenda; Jean Pisani-Ferry says eurozone fiscal strategy might work, but requires a measured implementation of fiscal targets, and significant monetary policy support; Joseph Stiglitz accuses the ECB of pandering towards vested interests.


tens of millions of people stand to see their lives ruined because the bureaucrats at the ECB don't understand introductory economics -- Dean Baker
by Carrie (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Feb 7th, 2012 at 04:30:46 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Germany and France have found another way to take away Greek sovereignty

France and Germany have come up with another torture instruments for the Greeks

This is fundamentally a story about mistrust. Angela Merkel and Nicolas Sarkozy are worried that a new Greek government might squander the funds of a second rescue programme. For that reason, they are now proposing to create a special escrow fund, earmarked to pay off Greek debt holders. This would enable them to withhold funds from Greece, without triggering an automatic default, the FT reports. It is hard to see why Greece should accept this. The article said the plan had the backing of the European Commission. Germany came up with this idea after the angry rejection of its proposal of a fiscal Kommissar. The article quotes a senior French official as saying: "This is a better idea than the proposal of a debt commissar...It is more acceptable.

France and Germany finally make it absolutely transparent that the "Greek rescue" is not a rescue of Greece, but using Greece as a conduit ro give money to their banks.

tens of millions of people stand to see their lives ruined because the bureaucrats at the ECB don't understand introductory economics -- Dean Baker
by Carrie (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Feb 7th, 2012 at 04:32:06 AM EST
[ Parent ]
@yanisvaroufakis
It is official. EU will be (a) paying off the banks directly (b) adding these sums to Greece's debt (c) screw Greece's GDP into the ground.



tens of millions of people stand to see their lives ruined because the bureaucrats at the ECB don't understand introductory economics -- Dean Baker
by Carrie (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Feb 7th, 2012 at 04:40:39 AM EST
[ Parent ]
France, Germany press for Greek debt escrow account
One French source said the idea, floated by Germany, was for funds from a planned second 130 billion euro bailout program for Greece to be siphoned off to reassure bondholders that future payments were guaranteed.

The scheme, which was only at a preliminary stage, was to demonstrate that debt payments were being given priority in Greece's budget, the French source said.

Greece, which has repeatedly failed to meet fiscal targets set out by its international lenders, had reacted angrily to German calls for the appointment of a "budget commissioner," saying it would be undermine national sovereignty.



tens of millions of people stand to see their lives ruined because the bureaucrats at the ECB don't understand introductory economics -- Dean Baker
by Carrie (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Feb 7th, 2012 at 04:46:20 AM EST
[ Parent ]
If only the debtor nations had told Merkozy to stuff it on day zero and forced them to bail out their banks things would be a lot better now.
by Colman (colman at eurotrib.com) on Tue Feb 7th, 2012 at 05:22:34 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Would they just bail out their fucking banks already? What is wrong with these people?
by Colman (colman at eurotrib.com) on Tue Feb 7th, 2012 at 05:21:26 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Greece is a braindead pregnant incest rape victim kept on life support by its rapist family so the pregnancy comes to term.

That's what's wrong with these people.

tens of millions of people stand to see their lives ruined because the bureaucrats at the ECB don't understand introductory economics -- Dean Baker

by Carrie (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Feb 7th, 2012 at 05:44:29 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I mean, seriously, this is what passes for "European Solidarity" these days:Euro Group President Jean-Claude Juncker: If Greece Doesn't Reform, 'It Can't Expect Solidarity'.

tens of millions of people stand to see their lives ruined because the bureaucrats at the ECB don't understand introductory economics -- Dean Baker
by Carrie (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Feb 7th, 2012 at 05:46:14 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Germany came up with this idea after the angry rejection of its proposal of a fiscal Kommissar.

That was a serious proposal? Really? I've been busy and sort of assumed it was one of those things floated by someone semi-connected.

by Colman (colman at eurotrib.com) on Tue Feb 7th, 2012 at 05:28:13 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Yes, it's been considered a German diplomatic failure by overreach.

Now, as people don't know what "escrow" means, but they do know what "kommissar" means, they are hoping the new idea will fly.

tens of millions of people stand to see their lives ruined because the bureaucrats at the ECB don't understand introductory economics -- Dean Baker

by Carrie (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Feb 7th, 2012 at 05:43:09 AM EST
[ Parent ]
sort of assumed it was one of those things floated by someone semi-connected

Let's review the pedigree of the idea:

June 2011: Trichet suggests it in his Charlemagne Prize acceptance lecture

"But if a country is still not delivering, I think all would agree that the second stage has to be different," he said, suggesting that eurozone authorities be given "a much deeper and authoritative say in the formation of the country's economic policies if these go harmfully astray".

He added: "It would be not only possible, but in some cases compulsory, in the second stage for the European authorities - namely the council on the basis of a proposal by the commission, in liaison with the ECB - to take themselves decisions applicable in the economy concerned."

Also in June: Jürgen "raving mad" Stark repeats Trichet's suggestion
ECB chief economist Jürgen Stark, in an interview with Italy's Il Sore 24 Ore, repeated the suggestion of external budgetary intervention. "If countries in difficulty do not introduce the necessary adjustment measures, then interfering in their national policy could be a necessary way of ensuring the correct functioning of monetary union," said Mr Stark.
September 2011: The Dutch government takes the idea and runs with it
The Dutch  prime minister Mark Rutte, in a joint article with his finance minister Jan Kees de Jager, called for the forced expulsion of member states. He also wants to appoint a new budget tsar, the FT writes in its news story accompanying the article, with powers to dictate taxes and spending in eurozone countries, and who would be empowered to kick countries out of the eurozone.
Then at the end of last year the CDU and started toying with the idea, and it was leaked as a trial balloon the week before the end-of-January "informal Council summit".

tens of millions of people stand to see their lives ruined because the bureaucrats at the ECB don't understand introductory economics -- Dean Baker
by Carrie (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Feb 7th, 2012 at 10:50:57 AM EST
[ Parent ]
@MatinaStevis
My timeline says a German flag has been set alight outside the Greek parliament. This is what it's come to? Very sad. #Greece #euro #Germany


tens of millions of people stand to see their lives ruined because the bureaucrats at the ECB don't understand introductory economics -- Dean Baker
by Carrie (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Feb 7th, 2012 at 11:37:15 AM EST
[ Parent ]
El Mundo [ES] via Presseurop: Why we've had enough of Greece
Yesterday the troika of the IMF, the European Central Bank and the European Commission had to threaten the Greek government with the torments of hell to get them to agree to lay off 15,000 civil servants in 2012 to lower the country's deficit. Greece has more than 700,000 public servants (out of a population of 11 million) and has promised to cut that number by 150,000 by the year 2015. But it is doing so with the alacrity of a turtle. In fact, it already had promised to slash 32,000 last year, but in the end trimmed only 2,000.

...

The Spanish government is no stranger to this. The EU leadership do not like the prospect of opening the exit door of the euro club, because after Greece would go Portugal, and nobody knows where the list could end. But they would also like the Greek politicians to take events more seriously. "We knew long ago that the Greeks are the way they are. The problem is not only economic but political," says a senior official.

And the way out does not seem to lie in threats, like the German threat to appoint a proconsul or the French idea of creating a separate account where the money to pay the interest can be deposited. The Greeks have never felt inferior to other Europeans. Although their economy is in ruins, their national self-esteem and pride are gigantic. They have, in fact, always distrusted the idea of Europe, unless it would mean that Brussels would fund their lifestyle. But all this was known almost from the day they entered the EU.



tens of millions of people stand to see their lives ruined because the bureaucrats at the ECB don't understand introductory economics -- Dean Baker
by Carrie (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Feb 7th, 2012 at 11:48:46 AM EST
[ Parent ]

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