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In 2007, with second preference, Bayrou would have won in a landslide.
Of course, proportional representation would be the right thing to do for parliementary elections. Earth provides enough to satisfy every man's need, but not every man's greed. Gandhi
Actually, not necessarily. It depends on how it would be organised. So I should take that back. Earth provides enough to satisfy every man's need, but not every man's greed. Gandhi
Condorcet method - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
A Condorcet method is any election method that elects the candidate that would win by majority rule in all pairings against the other candidates, whenever one of the candidates has that property
While not the strict definition an approxiamtion is that the least disliked candidate wins. Wheter this is good depends (imho) on what you are electing. Sweden's finest (and perhaps only) collaborative, leftist e-newspaper Synapze.se
The two round general election system is oriented to accomplishing a similar end as the second preference system, but generating more work for journalists. But given the 12.5% of registered voters ~ 15.6% of the electorate with 80% turnout, 19.2% of the electorate with 65% turnout ~ a second preference makes it easier for minor parties to get over the line for the second round. I've been accused of being a Marxist, yet while Harpo's my favourite, it's Groucho I'm always quoting. Odd, that.
Likewise, the system would probably encourage the natural tendency of the mainstream right to run two candidates, since they wouldn't have to worry so much about being eliminated by the FN.
So it's all positive for the presidentials. It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II
It doesn't seem that the Green Party or the Radicals are in a position to make many demands of the PS, if they are dependent upon an electoral coalition with the PS for their representation in parliament.
So it would come down to whether the FDG is required to form a majority, and what price in electoral reform the FDG could extract.
MMP on whatever numbers on offer would seem to be the first best outcome for the FDG ~ any other electoral reform would be a consolation prize if MMP is out of reach.
Of all the electoral reforms ~ preferential voting, multi-member STV, MMP ~ while second preference wouldn't have as dramatic an impact, it also comes with the least likelihood of increasing FN representation, so long as the FN remains relatively second preference toxic. However, that likelihood would have been even lower before Sarkozy's efforts to woo the FN electorate. I've been accused of being a Marxist, yet while Harpo's my favourite, it's Groucho I'm always quoting. Odd, that.
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