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This is so very obvious that it ought to be in the economy 101 syllabus, except economics is not actually about the economy anymore, but has degenerated into a branch of political retoric.
The point is that the wage differential between core and periphery, and the current account imbalance, is not going to go away unless you do all of these things.
Blowing the Eurozone apart would work too, of course, if and only if it is replaced by a floating exchange rate system. If you are not convinced, try it on someone who has not been entirely debauched by economics. — Piero Sraffa
More constructively: It ought to be pointed out to the german people that what is needed is higher real german wages. I see arguments for more higher wages in germany in the press on occasion, but mostly this is phrased in terms of higher inflation, which is the worst possible rethoric one could possibly choose to sway the german public opinion. What we need are arguments for a virteous cycle exit from the crisis that are as effective, intuitive and persuasive as the false "swabian housewife" analogy is. "Economic austerity in a crisis is like tightening your tie because your pants are falling off. It doesnt help, and makes it very hard to breathe"
It would certainly add a lot of financial fees and intermediates to inter-eurozone trade, as european industry tries to insure its supply chain against unpredictable currency shifts.
Im not sure if this entirely predictable negative would be larger than the positives, but I do know that massive shocks have a strong tendency to not work out well for the common citizen, so as a solution, it sucks.
- Jake Friends come and go. Enemies accumulate.
And then you can have actual employment-oriented economic policies in each member state instead of a race to the bottom and games of chicken (always won by the central bank with the undervalued currency) when exchange rates get close to the edge of the "snake". If you are not convinced, try it on someone who has not been entirely debauched by economics. — Piero Sraffa
The fix you are suggesting is to first break up the eurozone, and then replace the boards of the national banks with people who give a frack about the real economy and employment. But if you are willing to fire central bankers, why exactly do you need to break up the eurozone? Just go directly to the part of your perscription that is actually helpful, and sack the board of the ECB on grounds of incompetence.
Which is to say, we actually agree on the fundamentals. If you are not convinced, try it on someone who has not been entirely debauched by economics. — Piero Sraffa
But if you are willing to fire central bankers, why exactly do you need to break up the eurozone?
Whereas firing the national central bankers after withdrawing from the Eurozone would require only 50 % +1 of the vote in any state which wishes to adopt a sanity-based policy.
Which is why the EU could complain about Hungary infringing on Central Bank independence last year. If you are not convinced, try it on someone who has not been entirely debauched by economics. — Piero Sraffa
Starting that and preparing for a withdrawal can be done at the same time, since grabbing control over the central bank is important in both cases.
And as usual I suggest firing the CB boss for taking part in a conspiracy to subvert the EU treaties, which probably constitutes treason under national law. Let the CB boss appeal that to the Court. Sweden's finest (and perhaps only) collaborative, leftist e-newspaper Synapze.se
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