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Of course such movements usually have a pubic 'political' face to accompany the element using violence and force, and I don't see to much of that, though the Occupy - Anonymous axis may have some, or develop some, coordination. The one opportunity I see is in a large scale public epiphany and repudiation of the entire existing system, probably in conjunction with that system collapsing. But I expect there is a greater chance that the usual suspects would come out on top in that circumstance as well. So I agree that there is, at least, not much hope in 'The worse, the better'. But, then, hope is not everything. "It is not necessary to have hope in order to persevere."
- Jake Friends come and go. Enemies accumulate.
I don't see that the left has a concept of what we want as an alternative economic and political system, so that means no revolution.
i think we may not need a new economic system, but rather the present one managed accountably and transparently.
similar with democracy, a good idea in theory, but so far only created in ersatz versions, just real enough to pass fake muster, but in essence parodies, facsimiles ever more lacking in verisimilitude.
no need to re-invent the wheel, but rather to attach it to useful vehicles, like public transport, agricultural tools, etc instead of the equivalent of just military vehicles or cattle cars. 'The history of public debt is full of irony. It rarely follows our ideas of order and justice.' Thomas Piketty
We need to learn from our mistakes. Debt systems have been reliably producing crises for three thousand years.
they test people physically before letting them into the army.
as we can see, allowing moral dwarves into the finance system can be more destructive still.
if we are going to have a certain segment of society entrusted with the total liquidity of a country, there has to be a probity exam that is as exacting as an SAS boot camp.
these people are sitting on the equivalent of arms dumps. giving the keys to unrepentant gamblers, over and freaking over again is collective masochism.
of course politics/democracy allows us the illusion of having the power to kick out rascals, but the supply chain to refresh us with more seems cornucopian.
peak politicians is a ways away... 'The history of public debt is full of irony. It rarely follows our ideas of order and justice.' Thomas Piketty
In my view there is the unemployment crisis underlying the current debt crisis. A degree of productivity that allows traditional full time jobs only for a small minority. I don't see how capitalism could cope with it.
I see technological change as an opportunity to renegotiate power relations, which in a situation where capital has the upper hand means an assault on labour. But outsourcing and rounds of shock doctrine has proved far more powerful. Sweden's finest (and perhaps only) collaborative, leftist e-newspaper Synapze.se
A constitutional limit to wealth and income inequality - nobody is allowed to have more of either than fifty times the lowest income, or twenty times the median. Or something like that.
Firstly we have entrenched interests who have been playing the game for generations. I'm not sure they'd be in reach of a complete revolution, never mind a constitutional change.
Secondly, nation states are idiotic and far too expensive for the (largely illusory) benefits they provide. But world government provides a single point of political failure. I have no idea how to square that circle.
Finally you need to have a system that rewards innovation, insight and creativity but keeps predatory sociopaths well away from power.
Problem is, power is inherently sociopathic. People who crave it are insane, almost by definition. But you still need to have some power differentials, because some people are simply better at things like planning and people management than others. And it makes no sense to employ the ones who don't know what they're doing.
There's also the more basic problem that human political awareness is fundamentally flawed. We don't have the genetic or evolutionary background to make smart social choices. Given a choice, the reassuring smooth-talking liars win every time.
So you need a system that makes democracy about proven performance rather than superficial demagoguery, and which is accessible and open enough to disqualify trite manipulation even if voters like it.
I don't think a financial solution is going to work. The problems are psychological and psycho-social. Money is too blunt an instrument to solve them.
Political decisions should be made at the most local level possible, but no lower.
This means multiple levels of government : local (1000 people maximum in the lowest echelon), municipal, sub-regional, regional, national, european, world. Proportional representation at all levels, everything has to be negotiated, both within the governmental level and with the levels below and above.
Collective decision making by design; no government level has an individual leader, at minimum a duo. This of course won't eliminate the star system completely, but ought to seriously counter-balance it.
It's a very slow-moving system, of course, quite resistant to change, but ought to be fairly responsive to the people over the long term. It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II
The problem is that national level legislation is often large-span, complex, full of detail and technical wording.
In countries with a strongly technocratic civil service, this may not be so bad, just undemocratic. But in countries with a weaker civil service, legislation will be written by "helpful" lobbyists.
Some legislation could of course be simplified, but it should be noted that simplicity is often the ally of a shrunk state conservatism.
Why do I think it will be worse than now? Especially when I'd be the first to admit that it's very bad right now?
Because as bad as they are, parties remain organisations capable of drafting legislation for political objectives. And those political objectives provide a way for alternatives views to be incorporated, beyond technocracy and the lobbyists.
Of course, the worst thing about my view of the world is that progress only comes through either reclaiming parties of the left, or setting up alternatives like Syriza who only gain an opportunity at moments of great crisis.
But in countries with a weaker civil service, legislation will be written by "helpful" lobbyists.
Legislation is being written by "helpful" lobbyists NOW.
There could still be parties arguing their cause, by the way. They would supply the advisors.
In most European parliamentary systems the government, through the upper tiers of the civil service, drafts legislation. It's not like in the US where legislation is introduced by parlamentarians. The function of parliament is increasingly limited to demanding accountability from the civil service. So that function would remain. And the parlamentarians would seek advice from think tanks, foundations or "parties" just like current parlamentarians now seek advice from their party apparatus or the party itself writes the legislation that the parlamentarians introduce.
With party parliamentary discipline as currently practised in many parliamentary democracies, especially when party-list proportional representation is used, individual parlamentarians have little initiative and are basically there to contribute to party votes.
Finally, parlamentarians selected by sortition would be less vulnerable to corruption. Not only they don't owe any favours to external interests for their access to the parliament, but as they are not part of a party apparatus they are less likely to exchange favours after leaving the parliament. If you are not convinced, try it on someone who has not been entirely debauched by economics. — Piero Sraffa
Finally, parlamentarians selected by sortition would be less vulnerable to corruption.
Not so sure about that. If you're a billionaire it's possibly not so hard to buy off a few hundred people who are used to an average income - even if they're on an MP pay scale. (Especially if they're civil servants.)
And you still have other issues. The problem is not just about votes in parliament, but about public influence in general. That includes media monopolies (q.v. Murdoch), universities (q.v. Chicago school) and think tanks (q.v. pretty much everyone and everything in the US.)
Put simply, you need to change or remove entire technologies of persuasion and political distortion to get a useful result.
Votes are the end of the persuasion process, not the root cause.
The way I see it, parties would morph into lobbies or think tanks.
The problem would be that parties would have no democratic legitimacy, and in particular, no obvious basis for public funding. i.e. the think tanks would be dominated by moneyed interests. It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II
Currently, (mileage may vary in your jurisdiction) a party which gets 10% in elections at a particular level of government is entitled to (say) 10% of the available public funding. The party is resourced, not only for its electoral action, but as lobbyist or think tank, in function of its democratic legitimacy. This is why we have public financing, without which the left is completely kneecapped (absent mass movements of the working class).
Where does that leave parties in your sortition system? De-financed and de-legitimized.
Just because we don't like any of the parties much, it doesn't mean they don't have a useful function as mediators of the political system. Probably they need to be regulated more (transparency and democracy in their internal functioning would be a good start!) It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II
Two possibilities :
The essence of democracy is government by consent. This does not require the active involvement of every citizen; and clearly it's too much to ask of most people. Sortition may be asking too much. It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II
Are you against jury duty or drawing lots for manning polling stations?
It's not a favour being asked, it's a civic duty. Plus, it would be remunerated as a full-time job. Possibly at a couple multiples of median income so as not to make it an overly onerous duty.
Military service or mandatory civic service are other examples of civic duty. If you are not convinced, try it on someone who has not been entirely debauched by economics. — Piero Sraffa
Primary schools are municipal at least, serious public transit planning is at least municipal or county, hospitals and secondary schools are sub-regional or regional. Those I can see people care about.
The parish council with a 1,000 person jurisdiction sounds like a glorified homeowners' association that gets an official channel in which to piss and moan every time the muni wants to do anything that reduces house prices in their particular neighborhood, no matte how much objective merit the policy has for the city as a whole.
As I said above, everything should be managed at the lowest possible level, but no lower. It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II
This village - well, this pair of villages - has a parish council. We also have quite a few people who work from home and need good broadband - which we do not yet have, and have no current prospects of same.
When I suggested to the council we look into this, because there's no lack of interest, I was told 'Excellent idea! We'll form a committee at the next meeting.'
That was months ago. Oddly enough, nothing has happened since. (And unfortunately I haven't been here for most of that time to chase things up.)
So representation only works when you have people with an interest in getting things done representing you. When you have people who think decisions can only be made by going through Proper Channels™ you're onto a loser.
And when you have people who become representatives purely for career reasons, things work even less well.
It's not as if it's used much, and could probably have limped along for another few decades without a replacement.
But because this is middle/upper class England that kind of thing matters, while trivia like broadband and a stable electricity supply (ours isn't particularly) don't.
20 years later, when I left, the population was about 500 and climbing, and had lost its former ethnic purity (Gaulish, of the Segusiave tribe). Mainly because it's half an hour's drive from an old industrial city experiencing urban flight.
It was a fine place to bring up young children. It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II
Urban flight is going to reverse. Soon and hard.
And I'm not sure about the reversal of urban flight. The city they left has lots of cheap housing available; and there are no jobs there. It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II
Ethno-nationalist romanticism likes to project local traditions and ancestry local ancestry several centuries back into the past. Truth is, rural collective memory is shorter than often assumed, and both ideas and people moved around a lot. I think that of the melting pot of the Roman Empire, the Burgundian migration, the Frank conquests, the Huguenot wars, at least some must have left their trace in the local gene pool. *Lunatic*, n. One whose delusions are out of fashion.
As for people moving around a lot. Not. Genealogical research by my ex-wife demonstrated that your spouse came from an area within walking distance, for your basic peasants, until the early 20th century. It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II
Where did you search for it? Speaking of which, when was the first mention of your village in historical records? *Lunatic*, n. One whose delusions are out of fashion.
But managing a primary school, providing the buildings, employing ancillary staff, are communal responsibilities. In France, the size of a commune varies wildly (from dozens to millions of inhabitants); what I propose is that it should be a "parish level" competency rather than a municipal one. It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II
I don't see that the left has a concept of what we want as an alternative economic and political system
But I do agree that an alternative vision that could gather broad support would be very valuable. Perhaps a continuing effort to widen the understanding of the problems inherent in the current system along with the bogus basis for its widespread support is a necessary first phase. What are needed are nonviolent but effective ways to discredit the dominant view disrupt the standard narrative. When politicians are hissed, booed and reviled for spinning the same old lies and narratives we will know progress towards a new social organization is happening.
It is becoming harder and harder for TPTB to maintain the pretense that everything is under control and operating according to legal and constitutional norms. The more people who publicly call out politicians and regulators by characterizing what they are doing as being front men for criminals the better. Well over 90% of the population of most formerly 'first world' nations are the victims of this collusion. When a substantial majority of the citizens realize this we will be closer to effecting some change. "It is not necessary to have hope in order to persevere."
This said, I don't think Lenin really won, do you? Or, by "the worst", did he mean Stalin? (And he never saw Hitler [Godwin - yikes!] coming, did he?)
It is not in our interest -- not in the interest of the majority of people who are not engaged in being or becoming high net worth individuals -- that things really go sick and bad. There's enough of a struggle ahead without it.
I don't think Lenin really won, do you?
The central problem we face is being able to have a state and state institutions while retaining accountability to the electorate in a meaningful way. We have the forms of such institutions but they have been and are being repeatedly shown to be hollow mockeries of the ideals on which they are based.
Beginnings are important. Nothing that begins in such a discredited manner and in a manner that has repeatedly shown itself highly vulnerable to usurpation of power by the 'avant garde' is likely to be of enduring value. There are likely tacit and informally organized competing 'avant gardes' for competing authoritarian takeovers waiting for a propitious moment, each with a sizable list of potential useful idiots. And the intentions of those who are most powerful in each are likely very closely held. "It is not necessary to have hope in order to persevere."
The Battle of the Beanfield 25th Anniversary: An Interview with Phil Shakesby | Andy Worthington
They surrounded us just right of the marquee. At that point we were well and truly sorted. As I say, they had these mega bloody riot sticks, and wagons chasing through the site running into benders. Now they didn't know whether there was anybody in these benders, and they'd run into them at high speed, just loving the way that they exploded. The tarp and all the poles would blow out, scattering the contents all over the place. And they did several of these. One of the lads managed to fire up his truck and chase after this thing, and, of course, a few more riot wagons came in then, and they eventually stopped him by ramming him from either side. The main Super Duper comes over when they've actually surrounded us, and he's asking for Boris and Doris, who are the ring-leaders as far as he's concerned, because we'd billed ourselves as, `The Peace Convoy, backed by Boris and Doris' -- who were two geese that we had on site. So on all the fly-posters it was `Boris and Doris proudly presents...' sort of thing. So they wanted to arrest Boris and Doris. And of course, your arse is tweeting like nobody's business because there's all this thing going on. Your gaffs are being wrecked right before you, and you're surrounded by all this police, and then the Chief Super Duper marches up and says, `Right, I want Boris and Doris to step out here now!' as all 200 of us fell about guffawing. I mean, you couldn't do anything else. Your arse is tweeting away one moment, and then there's this loony toon asking for two geese to step forward. It was the funny moment of it all. Wicked!
They surrounded us just right of the marquee. At that point we were well and truly sorted. As I say, they had these mega bloody riot sticks, and wagons chasing through the site running into benders. Now they didn't know whether there was anybody in these benders, and they'd run into them at high speed, just loving the way that they exploded. The tarp and all the poles would blow out, scattering the contents all over the place. And they did several of these. One of the lads managed to fire up his truck and chase after this thing, and, of course, a few more riot wagons came in then, and they eventually stopped him by ramming him from either side.
The main Super Duper comes over when they've actually surrounded us, and he's asking for Boris and Doris, who are the ring-leaders as far as he's concerned, because we'd billed ourselves as, `The Peace Convoy, backed by Boris and Doris' -- who were two geese that we had on site. So on all the fly-posters it was `Boris and Doris proudly presents...' sort of thing. So they wanted to arrest Boris and Doris. And of course, your arse is tweeting like nobody's business because there's all this thing going on. Your gaffs are being wrecked right before you, and you're surrounded by all this police, and then the Chief Super Duper marches up and says, `Right, I want Boris and Doris to step out here now!' as all 200 of us fell about guffawing. I mean, you couldn't do anything else. Your arse is tweeting away one moment, and then there's this loony toon asking for two geese to step forward. It was the funny moment of it all. Wicked!
Counterfactuals are always slippery, but I'm not convinced the death toll over the course of a century would have been any lower.
But over and over I keep coming back to the same key point - bad things happen when sociopaths end up in power.
Overt politics are irrelevant. It doesn't matter if a sociopath pretends to be a fascist, a communist, a libertarian, a Christian fundamentalist, an Islamic fundamentalist, a corporate executive or a social democrat.
Sociopaths cause poverty, death, and destruction.
We have limited experience of cultures and corporations which aren't run by sociopaths. I'd suggest getting more experience would be a good start.
Where would Russia have been without the Bolshevik revolution?
Fair question.
It's a commonplace to say that Tsarist Russia was as overdue for change as the ancien régime was in 1789. The collapse that took place was on the cards, and it's reasonable to suppose it would have happened without the Bolsheviks. What the result would have been is hard to say.
I'm certainly not making out the Bolshevik Revolution was a Bad Thing. I do think that Lenin had a successful revolutionary strategy but that, in terms of his own long-term goals, the revolution was not a success.
As to your second point, how to take over the political institutions of a country in such a way as not to open the field to sociopaths?
The radicals triumph because: they are "better organized, better staffed, better obeyed," they have "relatively few responsibilities, while the legal government "has to shoulder some of the unpopularity of the government of the old regime" with "the worn-out machinery, the institutions of the old regime." the moderates are hindered by their hesitancy to change direction and fight back against the radical revolutionaries, "with whom they recently stood united," in favor of conservatives, "against whom they have so recently risen." They are drawn to the slogan `no enemies to the Left.` the moderates are attacked on one side by "disgruntled but not yet silenced conservatives, and the confident, aggressive extremists," on the other. The moderate revolutionary policies can please neither side. An example is the Root and Brand Bill in the English Revolution which abolished the episcopacy, angering conservatives and established institutions without earning the loyalty of radicals. they are the "poor" leaders of the wars which accompany the revolutions, unable to "provide the discipline, the enthusiasm," needed.
And the October revolution didn't happen at all according to the Bolshevik strategy... Un roi sans divertissement est un homme plein de misères
If we think a collapse is coming...
Which comes off as: "If you don't have a complete plan to bring off a revolution don't even discuss the possibility or likelihood of one."
No, it doesn't. What I said has nothing to do with your straw-built extension of it.
You were not discussing revolution. You just made a throwaway comment about Lenin's "worse is better". To which I objected, as I explained, because the worst is not to be wished.
This is where Europe and the US don't match-up.
In Europe there are political parties and organizations that, at a minimum, pretend to be Left Wing. There ain't none in the US as exhibited by the position of the two 2012 US presidential nominees on the Political Compass:
She believed in nothing; only her skepticism kept her from being an atheist. -- Jean-Paul Sartre
I know I find Hollande much too far to the right, and indeed Manuel Valls makes a few unwanted noises, but I would not have expected the current French government to be much to the right of the 2007 Bayrou. Earth provides enough to satisfy every man's need, but not every man's greed. Gandhi
Anyway, my impression from my attempt was that the conservative end of mere reasonableness would get you slightly to the top right of the green square.
Which makes it frightening to see such a cluster in the deranged region. Earth provides enough to satisfy every man's need, but not every man's greed. Gandhi
It certainly seemed to me that the blue corner was beyond reasonableness on at least some issues. But maybe part of it might be that some questions could have been interpreted differently. Earth provides enough to satisfy every man's need, but not every man's greed. Gandhi
So I "calibrated" slightly to the top right of myself.
I'm not that sure that I shifted to the left much, other than being more vocal about it. I still think that we should have balanced the budgets better in 2007, while trying to change the treaties to something more reasonable of course. What I cannot accept is trying austerity in the current predicament (my main qualm with the Bayrou program this time round was his accepting the golden rule. Alas, Hollande will probably pass it too). One area maybe: I probably now see more fields where having State companies (or even monopoly) seems a very reasonable proposition, or even the best one.
It seems to me that the world shifted a lot to the right, though. Dismantling the NHS used to be considered unthinkable. Earth provides enough to satisfy every man's need, but not every man's greed. Gandhi
Migeru:
When the next round of crisis comes, one can hope that at least some people in a position of influence will be willing to try something different from the old neoliberal consensus.
What I think is that we should be doing our best to bring that about. The death of neoliberalism is the watchword.
The development of a new left movement, including a party or loose international grouping of parties but far from limited to this, would surely be a useful element of that effort.
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