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Current account. If the country is still running a current account deficit, it will run out of euros for foreign trade, right? Then it would need devalue and a one euro X Note would become less then a euro, ending the currency union. So what time scale are we talking about there?
Malaysia chose differently. Instead of going to the IMF, Malaysia imposed sweeping controls on capital outflows, fixed the exchange rate, lowered interest rates, and increased spending. From September 2, 1998, foreigners were banned from removing portfolio capital for one year. On February 15, 1999, this was replaced by a graduated tax on outflows, which still remains in place.
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