Half a year, because the SPD will not tolerate him in a grand coalition. At least not as environment minister, and I don't know a minister chair that is low enough for him. Perhaps development: after Niebel probably everything would be an improvement. In a black and green coalition Altmeier will certainly lose his job. If the CDU/CSU is kicked out of the government, he is on the dole too. There is only one constellation favourable for him. And we won't take pessimism so far as to think the FDP jumps the 5% again, will we?